Governor Dauda Lawal’s emergence as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate for the February 2027 Zamfara gubernatorial election has driven trader consensus toward an overwhelming lead. After defecting from the PDP in March 2026 amid internal party crises, Lawal secured clearance from the APC national screening committee and unanimous affirmation across all 14 local government areas in late August primaries, with former rival Bello Mohammed Matawalle publicly withdrawing and endorsing him. This consolidation of APC structures, including endorsements from key state stakeholders and alignment with the federal ruling party, has positioned Lawal as the clear frontrunner. Opposition figures such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau and Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus remain at low implied probabilities due to fragmented party backing and internal disputes within smaller platforms, while the election timeline leaves limited scope for late shifts absent major disruptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于达乌达·拉瓦尔 88%
马哈迪·阿里尤·古萨乌 7%
哈姆扎·穆萨·麦·布拉乌斯 5%
艾哈迈德·亚胡扎 3.0%
最新
最新
2027-02-06
达乌达·拉瓦尔
88%
马哈迪·阿里尤·古萨乌
7%
哈姆扎·穆萨·麦·布拉乌斯
5%
艾哈迈德·亚胡扎
3%
达乌达·拉瓦尔 88%
马哈迪·阿里尤·古萨乌 7%
哈姆扎·穆萨·麦·布拉乌斯 5%
艾哈迈德·亚胡扎 3.0%
最新
最新
2027-02-06
达乌达·拉瓦尔
$1,496 交易量
88%
马哈迪·阿里尤·古萨乌
$53 交易量
7%
哈姆扎·穆萨·麦·布拉乌斯
$47 交易量
5%
艾哈迈德·亚胡扎
$119 交易量
3%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Governor Dauda Lawal’s emergence as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate for the February 2027 Zamfara gubernatorial election has driven trader consensus toward an overwhelming lead. After defecting from the PDP in March 2026 amid internal party crises, Lawal secured clearance from the APC national screening committee and unanimous affirmation across all 14 local government areas in late August primaries, with former rival Bello Mohammed Matawalle publicly withdrawing and endorsing him. This consolidation of APC structures, including endorsements from key state stakeholders and alignment with the federal ruling party, has positioned Lawal as the clear frontrunner. Opposition figures such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau and Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus remain at low implied probabilities due to fragmented party backing and internal disputes within smaller platforms, while the election timeline leaves limited scope for late shifts absent major disruptions.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
交易量
$1,714结束日期
2027-02-06市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Governor Dauda Lawal’s emergence as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate for the February 2027 Zamfara gubernatorial election has driven trader consensus toward an overwhelming lead. After defecting from the PDP in March 2026 amid internal party crises, Lawal secured clearance from the APC national screening committee and unanimous affirmation across all 14 local government areas in late August primaries, with former rival Bello Mohammed Matawalle publicly withdrawing and endorsing him. This consolidation of APC structures, including endorsements from key state stakeholders and alignment with the federal ruling party, has positioned Lawal as the clear frontrunner. Opposition figures such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau and Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus remain at low implied probabilities due to fragmented party backing and internal disputes within smaller platforms, while the election timeline leaves limited scope for late shifts absent major disruptions.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$1,714结束日期
2027-02-06市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETGovernor Dauda Lawal’s emergence as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate for the February 2027 Zamfara gubernatorial election has driven trader consensus toward an overwhelming lead. After defecting from the PDP in March 2026 amid internal party crises, Lawal secured clearance from the APC national screening committee and unanimous affirmation across all 14 local government areas in late August primaries, with former rival Bello Mohammed Matawalle publicly withdrawing and endorsing him. This consolidation of APC structures, including endorsements from key state stakeholders and alignment with the federal ruling party, has positioned Lawal as the clear frontrunner. Opposition figures such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau and Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus remain at low implied probabilities due to fragmented party backing and internal disputes within smaller platforms, while the election timeline leaves limited scope for late shifts absent major disruptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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