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icon for 下届法国总统选举
世界·法国选举

下届法国总统选举

icon for 下届法国总统选举
世界·法国选举

下届法国总统选举

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞 38.4%

爱德华·菲利普 24%

让-吕克·梅朗雄 12%

大卫·利斯纳德 7.3%

Polymarket

$137,299,293 交易量

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞 38.4%

爱德华·菲利普 24%

让-吕克·梅朗雄 12%

大卫·利斯纳德 7.3%

Polymarket

$137,299,293 交易量

icon for 分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞

$2,680,069 交易量

38%

icon for 爱德华·菲利普

爱德华·菲利普

$1,703,127 交易量

24%

icon for 让-吕克·梅朗雄

让-吕克·梅朗雄

$1,591,389 交易量

12%

icon for 大卫·利斯纳德

大卫·利斯纳德

$2,425,490 交易量

7%

icon for 弗朗索瓦·奥朗德

弗朗索瓦·奥朗德

$1,971,404 交易量

6%

icon for 加布里埃尔·阿塔尔

加布里埃尔·阿塔尔

$2,367,252 交易量

2%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,854,835 交易量

2%

icon for 分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉

分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉

$2,241,726 交易量

2%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,351,471 交易量

2%

icon for 埃里克·泽穆尔

埃里克·泽穆尔

$2,518,946 交易量

1%

icon for 多米尼克·德维尔潘

多米尼克·德维尔潘

$1,987,760 交易量

1%

icon for 克里斯蒂娜·拉加德

克里斯蒂娜·拉加德

$150 交易量

1%

icon for 莎拉·克纳福

莎拉·克纳福

$2,176,151 交易量

1%

icon for 塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努

塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努

$1,776,751 交易量

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$6,545,362 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·鲁芬

分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·鲁芬

$4,324,167 交易量

<1%

icon for 奥利维耶·福尔

奥利维耶·福尔

$5,989,418 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题：Marine Tondelier

分组项标题：Marine Tondelier

$4,223,790 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组条目标题：让-卡斯泰

分组条目标题：让-卡斯泰

$1,764,722 交易量

<1%

icon for 卡里姆·布阿姆拉内

卡里姆·布阿姆拉内

$937,417 交易量

<1%

icon for 弗朗索瓦·巴鲁安

弗朗索瓦·巴鲁安

$1,330,504 交易量

<1%

icon for 泽维尔·贝特朗

泽维尔·贝特朗

$6,145,704 交易量

<1%

icon for 洛朗·沃奎耶

洛朗·沃奎耶

$3,684,663 交易量

<1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,293 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·阿塞勒诺

分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·阿塞勒诺

$5,755,683 交易量

<1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,072 交易量

<1%

icon for 尼古拉斯·杜邦-奈昂

尼古拉斯·杜邦-奈昂

$4,741,077 交易量

<1%

icon for 米歇尔·巴尼耶

米歇尔·巴尼耶

$5,254,335 交易量

<1%

icon for 瓦莱丽·佩雷斯

瓦莱丽·佩雷斯

$4,066,895 交易量

<1%

icon for 弗朗索瓦·贝鲁

弗朗索瓦·贝鲁

$5,939,554 交易量

<1%

icon for 伊丽莎白·博恩

伊丽莎白·博恩

$5,446,142 交易量

<1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,470 交易量

<1%

icon for 热拉尔·达马南

热拉尔·达马南

$2,086,486 交易量

<1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,742,203 交易量

<1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,338,862 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题：曼努埃尔·邦巴尔

分组项标题：曼努埃尔·邦巴尔

$4,826,252 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题：马蒂尔德·帕诺特

分组项标题：马蒂尔德·帕诺特

$6,420,688 交易量

<1%

icon for 胡安·布兰科

胡安·布兰科

$2,362,563 交易量

<1%

icon for 克莱芒斯·盖特

克莱芒斯·盖特

$4,175,200 交易量

<1%

icon for 卢西·卡斯泰

卢西·卡斯泰

$418,284 交易量

<1%

icon for 扬尼克·雅多

扬尼克·雅多

$750,460 交易量

<1%

icon for 玛丽昂·玛雷夏尔

玛丽昂·玛雷夏尔

$446,509 交易量

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen holds the leading position in trader assessments for the 2027 French presidential election, consistent with recent polling averages placing her first-round support in the low-to-mid 30s amid National Rally momentum. Her July 2026 court ruling reduced an ineligibility period, enabling her candidacy announcement and sustaining far-right consolidation as President Macron's term concludes. Édouard Philippe ranks second, drawing center-right and Macronist voters in a fragmented field where former prime ministers compete without a unified bloc. Jean-Luc Mélenchon follows as the primary left contender, benefiting from La France Insoumise loyalty while left primaries and debates in September test alternatives like Raphaël Glucksmann. The broad candidate list and polarized electorate underscore runoff uncertainties, with no single challenger consistently closing the gap in surveys conducted through mid-September.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$137,299,293
结束日期
2027-04-18
市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

结算方

0x2f5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen holds the leading position in trader assessments for the 2027 French presidential election, consistent with recent polling averages placing her first-round support in the low-to-mid 30s amid National Rally momentum. Her July 2026 court ruling reduced an ineligibility period, enabling her candidacy announcement and sustaining far-right consolidation as President Macron's term concludes. Édouard Philippe ranks second, drawing center-right and Macronist voters in a fragmented field where former prime ministers compete without a unified bloc. Jean-Luc Mélenchon follows as the primary left contender, benefiting from La France Insoumise loyalty while left primaries and debates in September test alternatives like Raphaël Glucksmann. The broad candidate list and polarized electorate underscore runoff uncertainties, with no single challenger consistently closing the gap in surveys conducted through mid-September.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$137,299,293
结束日期
2027-04-18
市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

结算方

0x2f5e3684c...

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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常见问题

"下届法国总统选举"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 42+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞"，概率为 38%，其次是"爱德华·菲利普"，概率为 24%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 38¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 38%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"下届法国总统选举"已产生 $137.3 million 的总交易量（自Nov 13, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下届法国总统选举"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 42+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下届法国总统选举"的当前领先者是"分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞"，概率为 38%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 38%。紧随其后的结果是"爱德华·菲利普"，概率为 24%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下届法国总统选举"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。