Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, faces removal through resignation only under exceptional circumstances that remain absent as of August 2026. Traders assign a 96.2 percent probability to “No” because presidential resignations are historically rare, require intense bipartisan pressure or personal incapacity, and current conditions show none of these triggers. Trump continues active governance through executive orders on agriculture, defense supply chains, and cryptography while maintaining a full public schedule. Speculation from opposition figures about post-midterm fatigue points to 2027 rather than the December 2026 resolution window. The only plausible paths to a shift involve sudden health developments or a major scandal generating credible impeachment momentum with broad Senate support—outcomes that lack supporting evidence in recent developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$526,414 交易量
$526,414 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$526,414 交易量
$526,414 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, faces removal through resignation only under exceptional circumstances that remain absent as of August 2026. Traders assign a 96.2 percent probability to “No” because presidential resignations are historically rare, require intense bipartisan pressure or personal incapacity, and current conditions show none of these triggers. Trump continues active governance through executive orders on agriculture, defense supply chains, and cryptography while maintaining a full public schedule. Speculation from opposition figures about post-midterm fatigue points to 2027 rather than the December 2026 resolution window. The only plausible paths to a shift involve sudden health developments or a major scandal generating credible impeachment momentum with broad Senate support—outcomes that lack supporting evidence in recent developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
交易量
$526,414结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, faces removal through resignation only under exceptional circumstances that remain absent as of August 2026. Traders assign a 96.2 percent probability to “No” because presidential resignations are historically rare, require intense bipartisan pressure or personal incapacity, and current conditions show none of these triggers. Trump continues active governance through executive orders on agriculture, defense supply chains, and cryptography while maintaining a full public schedule. Speculation from opposition figures about post-midterm fatigue points to 2027 rather than the December 2026 resolution window. The only plausible paths to a shift involve sudden health developments or a major scandal generating credible impeachment momentum with broad Senate support—outcomes that lack supporting evidence in recent developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$526,414结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, faces removal through resignation only under exceptional circumstances that remain absent as of August 2026. Traders assign a 96.2 percent probability to “No” because presidential resignations are historically rare, require intense bipartisan pressure or personal incapacity, and current conditions show none of these triggers. Trump continues active governance through executive orders on agriculture, defense supply chains, and cryptography while maintaining a full public schedule. Speculation from opposition figures about post-midterm fatigue points to 2027 rather than the December 2026 resolution window. The only plausible paths to a shift involve sudden health developments or a major scandal generating credible impeachment momentum with broad Senate support—outcomes that lack supporting evidence in recent developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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