Trump remains actively engaged as president with no public statements, health disclosures, or political developments indicating any intent to step down before the end of 2026. Traders assign 96.5 percent probability to “No” because presidential resignations are historically rare, occurring only once in U.S. history under unique pressure, while current evidence shows continued campaign involvement, executive actions, and public appearances through mid-September 2026. Midterm election outcomes, congressional dynamics, or unforeseen personal events could still introduce volatility, though none have materialized at a scale that would shift the consensus reflected in the market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
4% 概率
$538,890 交易量
$538,890 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 概率
$538,890 交易量
$538,890 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump remains actively engaged as president with no public statements, health disclosures, or political developments indicating any intent to step down before the end of 2026. Traders assign 96.5 percent probability to “No” because presidential resignations are historically rare, occurring only once in U.S. history under unique pressure, while current evidence shows continued campaign involvement, executive actions, and public appearances through mid-September 2026. Midterm election outcomes, congressional dynamics, or unforeseen personal events could still introduce volatility, though none have materialized at a scale that would shift the consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
交易量
$538,890结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump remains actively engaged as president with no public statements, health disclosures, or political developments indicating any intent to step down before the end of 2026. Traders assign 96.5 percent probability to “No” because presidential resignations are historically rare, occurring only once in U.S. history under unique pressure, while current evidence shows continued campaign involvement, executive actions, and public appearances through mid-September 2026. Midterm election outcomes, congressional dynamics, or unforeseen personal events could still introduce volatility, though none have materialized at a scale that would shift the consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$538,890结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETTrump remains actively engaged as president with no public statements, health disclosures, or political developments indicating any intent to step down before the end of 2026. Traders assign 96.5 percent probability to “No” because presidential resignations are historically rare, occurring only once in U.S. history under unique pressure, while current evidence shows continued campaign involvement, executive actions, and public appearances through mid-September 2026. Midterm election outcomes, congressional dynamics, or unforeseen personal events could still introduce volatility, though none have materialized at a scale that would shift the consensus reflected in the market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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