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弹劾 预测与赔率

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Alexandre de Moraes出任巴西最高法院法官?

Alexandre de Moraes出任巴西最高法院法官?

13%

$28.7K 交易量

$9.2K Liq.

19

Ends 6 个月内

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

<1%

$416K 交易量

$88.5K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

6%

$889K 交易量

$104K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

65%

$66.6K 交易量

$20.3K Liq.

Ends 超过 2 年内

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

10%

$13.7K 交易量

$34.3K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

1%

$162K 交易量

$15.3K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

10%

$19.1K 交易量

$8.0K Liq.

9

Ends 6 个月内

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

4%

$81.8K 交易量

$12.3K Liq.

26

Ends 6 个月内

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

<1%

$1M 交易量

$13.2K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

66%

Starmer - UK PM

$1M 交易量

$398K today

$437K Liq.

14

Ends 6 个月内

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

20%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$25.6K Liq.

72

Ends 6 个月内

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

36%

$4.4K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

6

Ends 6 个月内

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

6%

$38.7K 交易量

$23.9K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

19%

June 30

$30.4K 交易量

$8.7K Liq.

1

Ends 10 天内

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M 交易量

$308K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

<1%

$8M 交易量

$109K today

$312K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

84%

$21.8K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

1

Ends 6 个月内

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

1%

$14.1K 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

1

Ends 10 天内

What will Trump post this week? (June 15 - 21)

What will Trump post this week? (June 15 - 21)

51%

Knicks

$6.6K 交易量

$540 Liq.

Ends 1 天内

Zelenskyy # posts June 23 - June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 23 - June 30, 2026?

42%

80-99

$569 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 弹劾 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 134 个活跃的 弹劾 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Alexandre de Moraes出任巴西最高法院法官?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $23.0M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Trump out as President by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Trump out as President before 2027?",市场目前认为 No 的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 弹劾 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。