Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% trader consensus on impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic resolutions targeting alleged abuse of power, corruption, and election-related conduct have already been introduced in the current Republican-led chamber and remain stalled, yet several have garnered cosponsors and public attention. Polls conducted through mid-2026 show majority support for viewing certain actions as impeachable offenses. House Republican leaders have warned that a Democratic majority would likely prioritize articles of impeachment shortly after assuming the gavel, consistent with prior patterns when the opposition held power. Traders price this outcome as probable given the simple-majority threshold in the House and the remaining time in the term, while Senate conviction remains a separate and more demanding hurdle not required for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
68% 概率
$93,628 交易量
$93,628 交易量
2029-01-19
是
68% 概率
$93,628 交易量
$93,628 交易量
2029-01-19
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% trader consensus on impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic resolutions targeting alleged abuse of power, corruption, and election-related conduct have already been introduced in the current Republican-led chamber and remain stalled, yet several have garnered cosponsors and public attention. Polls conducted through mid-2026 show majority support for viewing certain actions as impeachable offenses. House Republican leaders have warned that a Democratic majority would likely prioritize articles of impeachment shortly after assuming the gavel, consistent with prior patterns when the opposition held power. Traders price this outcome as probable given the simple-majority threshold in the House and the remaining time in the term, while Senate conviction remains a separate and more demanding hurdle not required for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$93,628结束日期
2029-01-20市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% trader consensus on impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic resolutions targeting alleged abuse of power, corruption, and election-related conduct have already been introduced in the current Republican-led chamber and remain stalled, yet several have garnered cosponsors and public attention. Polls conducted through mid-2026 show majority support for viewing certain actions as impeachable offenses. House Republican leaders have warned that a Democratic majority would likely prioritize articles of impeachment shortly after assuming the gavel, consistent with prior patterns when the opposition held power. Traders price this outcome as probable given the simple-majority threshold in the House and the remaining time in the term, while Senate conviction remains a separate and more demanding hurdle not required for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$93,628结束日期
2029-01-20市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% trader consensus on impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic resolutions targeting alleged abuse of power, corruption, and election-related conduct have already been introduced in the current Republican-led chamber and remain stalled, yet several have garnered cosponsors and public attention. Polls conducted through mid-2026 show majority support for viewing certain actions as impeachable offenses. House Republican leaders have warned that a Democratic majority would likely prioritize articles of impeachment shortly after assuming the gavel, consistent with prior patterns when the opposition held power. Traders price this outcome as probable given the simple-majority threshold in the House and the remaining time in the term, while Senate conviction remains a separate and more demanding hurdle not required for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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