Republican control of the House, currently held by a narrow GOP margin, makes passage of articles of impeachment before the November 2026 midterms highly improbable. Even a Democratic takeover after those elections would leave insufficient time for the full process to conclude by December 31, 2026, as the new Congress convenes in January 2027. Trader consensus at 98.3% for no impeachment reflects these structural barriers and the absence of bipartisan momentum. Late developments such as major scandals, unexpected shifts in House composition through special elections, or procedural maneuvers could still influence outcomes, though such paths remain limited within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$987,960 交易量
$987,960 交易量
是
$987,960 交易量
$987,960 交易量
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House, currently held by a narrow GOP margin, makes passage of articles of impeachment before the November 2026 midterms highly improbable. Even a Democratic takeover after those elections would leave insufficient time for the full process to conclude by December 31, 2026, as the new Congress convenes in January 2027. Trader consensus at 98.3% for no impeachment reflects these structural barriers and the absence of bipartisan momentum. Late developments such as major scandals, unexpected shifts in House composition through special elections, or procedural maneuvers could still influence outcomes, though such paths remain limited within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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