Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress through December 2026 create the primary barrier to impeachment, as House passage of articles requires Democratic support that remains absent amid ongoing legislative disputes over voting measures and appropriations. Midterm elections in November will not shift control until the new Congress convenes in January 2027, leaving insufficient time for any post-election action within the market window. Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority that partisan divisions make unrealistic even under altered House leadership. Trader consensus at 97.8% for no impeachment reflects these structural constraints and the absence of bipartisan momentum. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or unforeseen bipartisan agreements could still alter trajectories before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$989,331 交易量
$989,331 交易量
是
$989,331 交易量
$989,331 交易量
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress through December 2026 create the primary barrier to impeachment, as House passage of articles requires Democratic support that remains absent amid ongoing legislative disputes over voting measures and appropriations. Midterm elections in November will not shift control until the new Congress convenes in January 2027, leaving insufficient time for any post-election action within the market window. Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority that partisan divisions make unrealistic even under altered House leadership. Trader consensus at 97.8% for no impeachment reflects these structural constraints and the absence of bipartisan momentum. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or unforeseen bipartisan agreements could still alter trajectories before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题