Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress create the primary institutional barrier to impeachment through December 2026, as House passage of articles requires a simple majority that opposition parties currently lack. The November 2026 midterms fall too late for any resulting shift in House control to enable action before year-end, since the new Congress convenes in January 2027. Trader consensus at 98.3% for “No” reflects these procedural timelines and historical patterns of partisan alignment on impeachment votes. Limited scenarios that could still move the outcome include a major late-breaking scandal prompting bipartisan Republican defections or accelerated proceedings during a lame-duck session, though such developments remain low-probability based on current legislative dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$987,960 交易量
$987,960 交易量
是
$987,960 交易量
$987,960 交易量
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress create the primary institutional barrier to impeachment through December 2026, as House passage of articles requires a simple majority that opposition parties currently lack. The November 2026 midterms fall too late for any resulting shift in House control to enable action before year-end, since the new Congress convenes in January 2027. Trader consensus at 98.3% for “No” reflects these procedural timelines and historical patterns of partisan alignment on impeachment votes. Limited scenarios that could still move the outcome include a major late-breaking scandal prompting bipartisan Republican defections or accelerated proceedings during a lame-duck session, though such developments remain low-probability based on current legislative dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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