**Kristi Noem’s departure from the Department of Homeland Security in early March 2026 has anchored trader expectations that she will not face impeachment this year.** Democratic lawmakers introduced articles in January citing obstruction of Congress, public-trust violations tied to immigration enforcement incidents, and alleged self-dealing in contracting, yet the Republican-controlled House took no action and no bipartisan support emerged for advancing proceedings. Noem’s subsequent removal by President Trump and replacement by Senator Markwayne Mullin eliminated her from the position that would be the target of any such resolution. With the 2026 calendar now past the period of peak controversy and no new office creating fresh impeachment exposure, the 97.3 percent “No” price reflects the straightforward procedural barrier that removal from office has created. Late-session developments such as a return to a confirmable federal role or an unforeseen congressional majority shift remain theoretically possible but lack any supporting momentum at present.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kristi Noem在2026年被弹劾？
Kristi Noem在2026年被弹劾？
是
4% 概率
$22,389 交易量
$22,389 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 概率
$22,389 交易量
$22,389 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Kristi Noem’s departure from the Department of Homeland Security in early March 2026 has anchored trader expectations that she will not face impeachment this year.** Democratic lawmakers introduced articles in January citing obstruction of Congress, public-trust violations tied to immigration enforcement incidents, and alleged self-dealing in contracting, yet the Republican-controlled House took no action and no bipartisan support emerged for advancing proceedings. Noem’s subsequent removal by President Trump and replacement by Senator Markwayne Mullin eliminated her from the position that would be the target of any such resolution. With the 2026 calendar now past the period of peak controversy and no new office creating fresh impeachment exposure, the 97.3 percent “No” price reflects the straightforward procedural barrier that removal from office has created. Late-session developments such as a return to a confirmable federal role or an unforeseen congressional majority shift remain theoretically possible but lack any supporting momentum at present.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
交易量
$22,389结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Kristi Noem’s departure from the Department of Homeland Security in early March 2026 has anchored trader expectations that she will not face impeachment this year.** Democratic lawmakers introduced articles in January citing obstruction of Congress, public-trust violations tied to immigration enforcement incidents, and alleged self-dealing in contracting, yet the Republican-controlled House took no action and no bipartisan support emerged for advancing proceedings. Noem’s subsequent removal by President Trump and replacement by Senator Markwayne Mullin eliminated her from the position that would be the target of any such resolution. With the 2026 calendar now past the period of peak controversy and no new office creating fresh impeachment exposure, the 97.3 percent “No” price reflects the straightforward procedural barrier that removal from office has created. Late-session developments such as a return to a confirmable federal role or an unforeseen congressional majority shift remain theoretically possible but lack any supporting momentum at present.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$22,389结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET**Kristi Noem’s departure from the Department of Homeland Security in early March 2026 has anchored trader expectations that she will not face impeachment this year.** Democratic lawmakers introduced articles in January citing obstruction of Congress, public-trust violations tied to immigration enforcement incidents, and alleged self-dealing in contracting, yet the Republican-controlled House took no action and no bipartisan support emerged for advancing proceedings. Noem’s subsequent removal by President Trump and replacement by Senator Markwayne Mullin eliminated her from the position that would be the target of any such resolution. With the 2026 calendar now past the period of peak controversy and no new office creating fresh impeachment exposure, the 97.3 percent “No” price reflects the straightforward procedural barrier that removal from office has created. Late-session developments such as a return to a confirmable federal role or an unforeseen congressional majority shift remain theoretically possible but lack any supporting momentum at present.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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