The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte remains closely balanced, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over whether prosecutors can secure the required 16 votes out of 24 senator-judges for conviction on charges including misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and betrayal of public trust. The proceedings, now in their third week with dozens of scheduled hearing days extending potentially into 2027, center on witness testimony and document review amid a divided chamber where Duterte maintains a bloc of allies sufficient to block conviction. Recent Supreme Court rulings have affirmed the trial's continuation without procedural halts, while Senate leadership shifts and the detention of some pro-Duterte senators introduce variables in attendance and voting dynamics. Further evidence on fund allocations or defense rebuttals could alter momentum in either direction before a final vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于51% 概率
$12,052 交易量
$12,052 交易量
2026-12-30
51% 概率
$12,052 交易量
$12,052 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte remains closely balanced, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over whether prosecutors can secure the required 16 votes out of 24 senator-judges for conviction on charges including misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and betrayal of public trust. The proceedings, now in their third week with dozens of scheduled hearing days extending potentially into 2027, center on witness testimony and document review amid a divided chamber where Duterte maintains a bloc of allies sufficient to block conviction. Recent Supreme Court rulings have affirmed the trial's continuation without procedural halts, while Senate leadership shifts and the detention of some pro-Duterte senators introduce variables in attendance and voting dynamics. Further evidence on fund allocations or defense rebuttals could alter momentum in either direction before a final vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
交易量
$12,052结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte remains closely balanced, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over whether prosecutors can secure the required 16 votes out of 24 senator-judges for conviction on charges including misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and betrayal of public trust. The proceedings, now in their third week with dozens of scheduled hearing days extending potentially into 2027, center on witness testimony and document review amid a divided chamber where Duterte maintains a bloc of allies sufficient to block conviction. Recent Supreme Court rulings have affirmed the trial's continuation without procedural halts, while Senate leadership shifts and the detention of some pro-Duterte senators introduce variables in attendance and voting dynamics. Further evidence on fund allocations or defense rebuttals could alter momentum in either direction before a final vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$12,052结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETThe Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte remains closely balanced, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over whether prosecutors can secure the required 16 votes out of 24 senator-judges for conviction on charges including misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and betrayal of public trust. The proceedings, now in their third week with dozens of scheduled hearing days extending potentially into 2027, center on witness testimony and document review amid a divided chamber where Duterte maintains a bloc of allies sufficient to block conviction. Recent Supreme Court rulings have affirmed the trial's continuation without procedural halts, while Senate leadership shifts and the detention of some pro-Duterte senators introduce variables in attendance and voting dynamics. Further evidence on fund allocations or defense rebuttals could alter momentum in either direction before a final vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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