President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against expanded ICE enforcement operations, most recently in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a Minneapolis woman by a federal agent and subsequent unrest in Minnesota. Earlier signals emerged in 2025 over anti-deportation demonstrations in Los Angeles and other cities, though no formal invocation has occurred. Congress advanced reform legislation in 2025 to narrow presidential authority and require greater oversight, while courts have limited related National Guard deployments under other statutes. Trader odds reflect ongoing uncertainty tied to immigration enforcement actions, state-federal tensions, and potential escalation around scheduled political events or further incidents through the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,090,974 交易量
2026-12-31
6月30日
4%
12月31日
18%
$1,090,974 交易量
6月30日
$72,167 交易量
4%
12月31日
$135,212 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against expanded ICE enforcement operations, most recently in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a Minneapolis woman by a federal agent and subsequent unrest in Minnesota. Earlier signals emerged in 2025 over anti-deportation demonstrations in Los Angeles and other cities, though no formal invocation has occurred. Congress advanced reform legislation in 2025 to narrow presidential authority and require greater oversight, while courts have limited related National Guard deployments under other statutes. Trader odds reflect ongoing uncertainty tied to immigration enforcement actions, state-federal tensions, and potential escalation around scheduled political events or further incidents through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
交易量
$1,090,974结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against expanded ICE enforcement operations, most recently in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a Minneapolis woman by a federal agent and subsequent unrest in Minnesota. Earlier signals emerged in 2025 over anti-deportation demonstrations in Los Angeles and other cities, though no formal invocation has occurred. Congress advanced reform legislation in 2025 to narrow presidential authority and require greater oversight, while courts have limited related National Guard deployments under other statutes. Trader odds reflect ongoing uncertainty tied to immigration enforcement actions, state-federal tensions, and potential escalation around scheduled political events or further incidents through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,090,974结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against expanded ICE enforcement operations, most recently in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a Minneapolis woman by a federal agent and subsequent unrest in Minnesota. Earlier signals emerged in 2025 over anti-deportation demonstrations in Los Angeles and other cities, though no formal invocation has occurred. Congress advanced reform legislation in 2025 to narrow presidential authority and require greater oversight, while courts have limited related National Guard deployments under other statutes. Trader odds reflect ongoing uncertainty tied to immigration enforcement actions, state-federal tensions, and potential escalation around scheduled political events or further incidents through the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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