President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act since taking office in January 2025, most recently in January 2026 amid protests in Minnesota over Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations following the fatal shooting of a civilian by a federal agent. Earlier threats targeted unrest in Los Angeles and other cities during deportation efforts. The act has not been used since 1992, and the Supreme Court has blocked related attempts to federalize National Guard troops under other statutes. Reform legislation narrowing presidential authority and requiring congressional approval has been introduced in Congress. Trader focus centers on whether ongoing immigration enforcement actions, protests, or legal hurdles will prompt formal invocation before mid-2026 resolution deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,092,570 交易量
6月30日
2%
12月31日
17%
$1,092,570 交易量
6月30日
2%
12月31日
17%
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act since taking office in January 2025, most recently in January 2026 amid protests in Minnesota over Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations following the fatal shooting of a civilian by a federal agent. Earlier threats targeted unrest in Los Angeles and other cities during deportation efforts. The act has not been used since 1992, and the Supreme Court has blocked related attempts to federalize National Guard troops under other statutes. Reform legislation narrowing presidential authority and requiring congressional approval has been introduced in Congress. Trader focus centers on whether ongoing immigration enforcement actions, protests, or legal hurdles will prompt formal invocation before mid-2026 resolution deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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