US military operations against Iran, initiated in late February 2026 following strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have continued through cycles of airstrikes, naval incidents in the Strait of Hormuz, and proxy engagements without a congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting hostilities collapsed amid renewed clashes, sanctions expansions under "Operation Economic Outcast," and fresh US strikes on IRGC targets in early September. Congressional efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution have stalled, reflecting institutional patterns where administrations conduct sustained campaigns via executive authority rather than formal declarations. Upcoming midterm elections and any diplomatic signals on nuclear inspections or maritime access could influence momentum, though structural and political hurdles to an official declaration remain substantial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$7,815,666 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
2%
$7,815,666 交易量
12月31日
$843,032 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Iran, initiated in late February 2026 following strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have continued through cycles of airstrikes, naval incidents in the Strait of Hormuz, and proxy engagements without a congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting hostilities collapsed amid renewed clashes, sanctions expansions under "Operation Economic Outcast," and fresh US strikes on IRGC targets in early September. Congressional efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution have stalled, reflecting institutional patterns where administrations conduct sustained campaigns via executive authority rather than formal declarations. Upcoming midterm elections and any diplomatic signals on nuclear inspections or maritime access could influence momentum, though structural and political hurdles to an official declaration remain substantial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,815,666结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Iran, initiated in late February 2026 following strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have continued through cycles of airstrikes, naval incidents in the Strait of Hormuz, and proxy engagements without a congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting hostilities collapsed amid renewed clashes, sanctions expansions under "Operation Economic Outcast," and fresh US strikes on IRGC targets in early September. Congressional efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution have stalled, reflecting institutional patterns where administrations conduct sustained campaigns via executive authority rather than formal declarations. Upcoming midterm elections and any diplomatic signals on nuclear inspections or maritime access could influence momentum, though structural and political hurdles to an official declaration remain substantial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,815,666结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETUS military operations against Iran, initiated in late February 2026 following strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have continued through cycles of airstrikes, naval incidents in the Strait of Hormuz, and proxy engagements without a congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting hostilities collapsed amid renewed clashes, sanctions expansions under "Operation Economic Outcast," and fresh US strikes on IRGC targets in early September. Congressional efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution have stalled, reflecting institutional patterns where administrations conduct sustained campaigns via executive authority rather than formal declarations. Upcoming midterm elections and any diplomatic signals on nuclear inspections or maritime access could influence momentum, though structural and political hurdles to an official declaration remain substantial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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