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真主党 预测与赔率

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Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

11%

June 30

$3M 交易量

$85.0K today

$101K Liq.

95

Ends 10 天前

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

June 30

$62.3K 交易量

$16.8K Liq.

8

Ends 20 天内

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

17%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$18.1K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

6%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$568K 交易量

$161K Liq.

15

Ends 10 天前

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$877K 交易量

$20.1K Liq.

45

Ends 2 个月前

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

2%

June 30

$37.1K 交易量

$19.5K Liq.

Ends 10 天前

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

12%

July 31

$2M 交易量

$86.8K Liq.

42

Ends 20 天内

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

37%

June 30

$113K 交易量

$19.8K Liq.

19

Ends 3 天前

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

40%

June 30

$96.6K 交易量

$2.7K Liq.

9

Ends 3 天前

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

14%

June 30

$21.4K 交易量

$16.2K Liq.

Ends 3 天前

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

89%

June 30

$12.0K 交易量

$26.6K Liq.

Ends 20 天内

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

6%

$77.7K 交易量

$17.1K Liq.

Ends 20 天内

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

63%

Team Falcons

$55.8K 交易量

$55.8K today

$71.1K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Yes

$1 交易量

$141 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月前

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

8%

June 30

$45.2K 交易量

$11.3K Liq.

4

Ends 大约 1 个月前

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BoyBand (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BoyBand (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

BoyBand

$350 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 16 天前

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

12%

$7.9K 交易量

$12.0K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

16%

June 30

$645K 交易量

$591K today

$342K Liq.

13

Ends 20 天内

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

7%

June 30

$1M 交易量

$16.9K Liq.

57

Ends 10 天前

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

57%

July 31

$30M 交易量

$441K today

$217K Liq.

576

Ends 20 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 真主党 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 106 个活跃的 真主党 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $42.5M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?",市场目前认为 July 31 的概率为 57%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 真主党 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。