Recent national polls from late August through early September 2026 place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages from outlets including RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and Reuters/Ipsos showing figures between 35% and 39.6%. The ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict continues to weigh on sentiment, as approval for handling of that issue sits near 31-34% amid elevated gas prices and public skepticism over costs and duration. Economic perceptions, including tariffs and cost-of-living metrics, have also contributed to net approval ratings near -17 to -20. With no major new catalysts reported in the immediate days before September 18, trader consensus on Polymarket concentrates probabilities on the 37.5–38.9 range, consistent with the most recent survey readings and limited short-term volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于38.0–38.4 37%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
37.0–37.4 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
低于37.0
5%
37.0–37.4
7%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
37%
38.5–38.9
26%
39.0以上
5%
38.0–38.4 37%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
37.0–37.4 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
低于37.0
$63 交易量
5%
37.0–37.4
$94 交易量
7%
37.5–37.9
$24 交易量
27%
38.0–38.4
$144 交易量
37%
38.5–38.9
$136 交易量
26%
39.0以上
$129 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls from late August through early September 2026 place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages from outlets including RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and Reuters/Ipsos showing figures between 35% and 39.6%. The ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict continues to weigh on sentiment, as approval for handling of that issue sits near 31-34% amid elevated gas prices and public skepticism over costs and duration. Economic perceptions, including tariffs and cost-of-living metrics, have also contributed to net approval ratings near -17 to -20. With no major new catalysts reported in the immediate days before September 18, trader consensus on Polymarket concentrates probabilities on the 37.5–38.9 range, consistent with the most recent survey readings and limited short-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$588结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls from late August through early September 2026 place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages from outlets including RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and Reuters/Ipsos showing figures between 35% and 39.6%. The ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict continues to weigh on sentiment, as approval for handling of that issue sits near 31-34% amid elevated gas prices and public skepticism over costs and duration. Economic perceptions, including tariffs and cost-of-living metrics, have also contributed to net approval ratings near -17 to -20. With no major new catalysts reported in the immediate days before September 18, trader consensus on Polymarket concentrates probabilities on the 37.5–38.9 range, consistent with the most recent survey readings and limited short-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$588结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETRecent national polls from late August through early September 2026 place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages from outlets including RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and Reuters/Ipsos showing figures between 35% and 39.6%. The ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict continues to weigh on sentiment, as approval for handling of that issue sits near 31-34% amid elevated gas prices and public skepticism over costs and duration. Economic perceptions, including tariffs and cost-of-living metrics, have also contributed to net approval ratings near -17 to -20. With no major new catalysts reported in the immediate days before September 18, trader consensus on Polymarket concentrates probabilities on the 37.5–38.9 range, consistent with the most recent survey readings and limited short-term volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题