Trump's job approval has declined steadily through 2026 to averages near 37-40 percent, with recent high-quality polls registering lows around 33-36 percent and net ratings at second-term records near -25. Primary drivers include sustained disapproval of his handling of the ongoing Iran conflict that began in February, alongside perceptions that economic policies, tariffs, inflation, and trade measures have hurt growth and living costs. These issues have eroded support even among some Republicans and independents, exceeding typical second-term patterns for the office. Midterm elections in November and any diplomatic or economic shifts could influence further movement before year-end polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$100,939 交易量
2026-12-31
35%
36%
30%
9%
25%
5%
20%
2%
$100,939 交易量
35%
$67,820 交易量
36%
30%
$7,939 交易量
9%
25%
$2,652 交易量
5%
20%
$3,027 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's job approval has declined steadily through 2026 to averages near 37-40 percent, with recent high-quality polls registering lows around 33-36 percent and net ratings at second-term records near -25. Primary drivers include sustained disapproval of his handling of the ongoing Iran conflict that began in February, alongside perceptions that economic policies, tariffs, inflation, and trade measures have hurt growth and living costs. These issues have eroded support even among some Republicans and independents, exceeding typical second-term patterns for the office. Midterm elections in November and any diplomatic or economic shifts could influence further movement before year-end polling.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$100,939结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's job approval has declined steadily through 2026 to averages near 37-40 percent, with recent high-quality polls registering lows around 33-36 percent and net ratings at second-term records near -25. Primary drivers include sustained disapproval of his handling of the ongoing Iran conflict that began in February, alongside perceptions that economic policies, tariffs, inflation, and trade measures have hurt growth and living costs. These issues have eroded support even among some Republicans and independents, exceeding typical second-term patterns for the office. Midterm elections in November and any diplomatic or economic shifts could influence further movement before year-end polling.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
交易量
$100,939结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's job approval has declined steadily through 2026 to averages near 37-40 percent, with recent high-quality polls registering lows around 33-36 percent and net ratings at second-term records near -25. Primary drivers include sustained disapproval of his handling of the ongoing Iran conflict that began in February, alongside perceptions that economic policies, tariffs, inflation, and trade measures have hurt growth and living costs. These issues have eroded support even among some Republicans and independents, exceeding typical second-term patterns for the office. Midterm elections in November and any diplomatic or economic shifts could influence further movement before year-end polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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