President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, titled “Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security.” The order establishes voluntary government review of certain frontier AI models for cybersecurity risks up to 30 days before public release, creates an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse, and directs agencies to strengthen defenses for critical infrastructure. It explicitly prohibits mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements for AI development. Earlier drafts with longer review windows were scaled back after industry input, reflecting administration priorities of maintaining U.S. AI leadership while addressing national security concerns. No subsequent executive actions on AI restrictions have occurred since the June signing, and no major scheduled events or legislative votes on the topic are pending in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
9月30日
6%
10月31日
6%
12月31日
14%
$9,089 交易量
9月30日
$8,270 交易量
6%
10月31日
$551 交易量
6%
12月31日
$267 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, titled “Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security.” The order establishes voluntary government review of certain frontier AI models for cybersecurity risks up to 30 days before public release, creates an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse, and directs agencies to strengthen defenses for critical infrastructure. It explicitly prohibits mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements for AI development. Earlier drafts with longer review windows were scaled back after industry input, reflecting administration priorities of maintaining U.S. AI leadership while addressing national security concerns. No subsequent executive actions on AI restrictions have occurred since the June signing, and no major scheduled events or legislative votes on the topic are pending in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
交易量
$9,089结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, titled “Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security.” The order establishes voluntary government review of certain frontier AI models for cybersecurity risks up to 30 days before public release, creates an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse, and directs agencies to strengthen defenses for critical infrastructure. It explicitly prohibits mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements for AI development. Earlier drafts with longer review windows were scaled back after industry input, reflecting administration priorities of maintaining U.S. AI leadership while addressing national security concerns. No subsequent executive actions on AI restrictions have occurred since the June signing, and no major scheduled events or legislative votes on the topic are pending in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,089结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETPresident Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, titled “Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security.” The order establishes voluntary government review of certain frontier AI models for cybersecurity risks up to 30 days before public release, creates an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse, and directs agencies to strengthen defenses for critical infrastructure. It explicitly prohibits mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements for AI development. Earlier drafts with longer review windows were scaled back after industry input, reflecting administration priorities of maintaining U.S. AI leadership while addressing national security concerns. No subsequent executive actions on AI restrictions have occurred since the June signing, and no major scheduled events or legislative votes on the topic are pending in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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