Recent polling averages have held Donald Trump’s job approval near 38 percent through mid-September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33 percent to 41 percent. Persistent voter concerns over inflation, higher gas prices tied to the Iran conflict, and broader economic conditions have offset any gains from policy actions and kept net approval deeply negative. The approach of November midterms has added scrutiny without producing sharp last-minute shifts in the latest releases. With the September 25 reading only days away and no major scheduled events or breaking developments expected to alter the trajectory immediately, trader consensus remains concentrated on the narrow 38–39 percent bands, reflecting the stability observed in high-quality aggregates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于38.0–38.4 39%
38.5–38.9 32%
39.0–39.4 20%
37.5–37.9 8%
低于37.5
4%
37.5–37.9
8%
38.0–38.4
39%
38.5–38.9
32%
39.0–39.4
20%
39.5以上
4%
38.0–38.4 39%
38.5–38.9 32%
39.0–39.4 20%
37.5–37.9 8%
低于37.5
4%
37.5–37.9
8%
38.0–38.4
39%
38.5–38.9
32%
39.0–39.4
20%
39.5以上
4%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Recent polling averages have held Donald Trump’s job approval near 38 percent through mid-September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33 percent to 41 percent. Persistent voter concerns over inflation, higher gas prices tied to the Iran conflict, and broader economic conditions have offset any gains from policy actions and kept net approval deeply negative. The approach of November midterms has added scrutiny without producing sharp last-minute shifts in the latest releases. With the September 25 reading only days away and no major scheduled events or breaking developments expected to alter the trajectory immediately, trader consensus remains concentrated on the narrow 38–39 percent bands, reflecting the stability observed in high-quality aggregates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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