**Traders assign a 70.5% implied probability that President Trump’s approval rating will rise this week, reflecting recent polling stabilization after multi-month lows near 35% approve / 57–63% disapprove.** Silver Bulletin’s September 11 update recorded a modest net-approval rebound to –19.5 from an all-time low of –20.6, driven by the latest survey inputs. This follows an FT/Focaldata poll released September 7 that had shown a fresh low of 33% approval amid dissatisfaction with economic management, cost-of-living pressures, and tariffs. The slight recent uptick coincides with Trump’s September 10 Dallas remarks urging Republican turnout by framing the November midterms as a personal referendum and offering financial incentives for congressional retention. With no major new negative catalysts in the immediate 48–72 hours and ongoing focus on base mobilization ahead of the midterms, market pricing reflects a consensus expectation of modest weekly stabilization or incremental gains rather than further erosion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上升
71% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-18
上升
71% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-18
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Traders assign a 70.5% implied probability that President Trump’s approval rating will rise this week, reflecting recent polling stabilization after multi-month lows near 35% approve / 57–63% disapprove.**
Silver Bulletin’s September 11 update recorded a modest net-approval rebound to –19.5 from an all-time low of –20.6, driven by the latest survey inputs. This follows an FT/Focaldata poll released September 7 that had shown a fresh low of 33% approval amid dissatisfaction with economic management, cost-of-living pressures, and tariffs.
The slight recent uptick coincides with Trump’s September 10 Dallas remarks urging Republican turnout by framing the November midterms as a personal referendum and offering financial incentives for congressional retention. With no major new negative catalysts in the immediate 48–72 hours and ongoing focus on base mobilization ahead of the midterms, market pricing reflects a consensus expectation of modest weekly stabilization or incremental gains rather than further erosion.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 5:46 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Traders assign a 70.5% implied probability that President Trump’s approval rating will rise this week, reflecting recent polling stabilization after multi-month lows near 35% approve / 57–63% disapprove.**
Silver Bulletin’s September 11 update recorded a modest net-approval rebound to –19.5 from an all-time low of –20.6, driven by the latest survey inputs. This follows an FT/Focaldata poll released September 7 that had shown a fresh low of 33% approval amid dissatisfaction with economic management, cost-of-living pressures, and tariffs.
The slight recent uptick coincides with Trump’s September 10 Dallas remarks urging Republican turnout by framing the November midterms as a personal referendum and offering financial incentives for congressional retention. With no major new negative catalysts in the immediate 48–72 hours and ongoing focus on base mobilization ahead of the midterms, market pricing reflects a consensus expectation of modest weekly stabilization or incremental gains rather than further erosion.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 5:46 PM ET**Traders assign a 70.5% implied probability that President Trump’s approval rating will rise this week, reflecting recent polling stabilization after multi-month lows near 35% approve / 57–63% disapprove.** Silver Bulletin’s September 11 update recorded a modest net-approval rebound to –19.5 from an all-time low of –20.6, driven by the latest survey inputs. This follows an FT/Focaldata poll released September 7 that had shown a fresh low of 33% approval amid dissatisfaction with economic management, cost-of-living pressures, and tariffs. The slight recent uptick coincides with Trump’s September 10 Dallas remarks urging Republican turnout by framing the November midterms as a personal referendum and offering financial incentives for congressional retention. With no major new negative catalysts in the immediate 48–72 hours and ongoing focus on base mobilization ahead of the midterms, market pricing reflects a consensus expectation of modest weekly stabilization or incremental gains rather than further erosion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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