Recent polling aggregates, including those feeding into the Silver Bulletin model used for market resolution, have consistently placed President Trump’s approval rating in the high 37 percent to low 39 percent range through early September 2026. This positioning stems primarily from sustained public dissatisfaction with economic conditions such as inflation and cost-of-living pressures, alongside lower marks on foreign policy matters including Iran-related developments. Multiple national surveys from late August and early September, covering adults and registered voters, have reinforced this narrow band despite minor fluctuations in individual releases. Trader consensus at 97 percent probability for the 38.0–38.4 interval reflects the stability of these aggregates ahead of final data incorporation. Late-arriving polls, model adjustments, or shifts in respondent intensity could still alter the precise outcome within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于38.0–38.4 97.5%
37.5–37.9 7.0%
38.5–38.9 2.9%
39.0–39.4 2.0%
$9,491 交易量
$9,491 交易量
2026-09-11
低于37.5
<1%
37.5–37.9
7%
38.0–38.4
98%
38.5–38.9
3%
39.0–39.4
2%
39.5+
<1%
38.0–38.4 97.5%
37.5–37.9 7.0%
38.5–38.9 2.9%
39.0–39.4 2.0%
$9,491 交易量
$9,491 交易量
2026-09-11
低于37.5
$1,031 交易量
<1%
37.5–37.9
$1,460 交易量
7%
38.0–38.4
$2,973 交易量
98%
38.5–38.9
$2,521 交易量
3%
39.0–39.4
$1,194 交易量
2%
39.5+
$312 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates, including those feeding into the Silver Bulletin model used for market resolution, have consistently placed President Trump’s approval rating in the high 37 percent to low 39 percent range through early September 2026. This positioning stems primarily from sustained public dissatisfaction with economic conditions such as inflation and cost-of-living pressures, alongside lower marks on foreign policy matters including Iran-related developments. Multiple national surveys from late August and early September, covering adults and registered voters, have reinforced this narrow band despite minor fluctuations in individual releases. Trader consensus at 97 percent probability for the 38.0–38.4 interval reflects the stability of these aggregates ahead of final data incorporation. Late-arriving polls, model adjustments, or shifts in respondent intensity could still alter the precise outcome within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
交易量
$9,491结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETThis market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates, including those feeding into the Silver Bulletin model used for market resolution, have consistently placed President Trump’s approval rating in the high 37 percent to low 39 percent range through early September 2026. This positioning stems primarily from sustained public dissatisfaction with economic conditions such as inflation and cost-of-living pressures, alongside lower marks on foreign policy matters including Iran-related developments. Multiple national surveys from late August and early September, covering adults and registered voters, have reinforced this narrow band despite minor fluctuations in individual releases. Trader consensus at 97 percent probability for the 38.0–38.4 interval reflects the stability of these aggregates ahead of final data incorporation. Late-arriving polls, model adjustments, or shifts in respondent intensity could still alter the precise outcome within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$9,491结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETRecent polling aggregates, including those feeding into the Silver Bulletin model used for market resolution, have consistently placed President Trump’s approval rating in the high 37 percent to low 39 percent range through early September 2026. This positioning stems primarily from sustained public dissatisfaction with economic conditions such as inflation and cost-of-living pressures, alongside lower marks on foreign policy matters including Iran-related developments. Multiple national surveys from late August and early September, covering adults and registered voters, have reinforced this narrow band despite minor fluctuations in individual releases. Trader consensus at 97 percent probability for the 38.0–38.4 interval reflects the stability of these aggregates ahead of final data incorporation. Late-arriving polls, model adjustments, or shifts in respondent intensity could still alter the precise outcome within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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