Recent Middle East energy price volatility has driven the Bank of England's July 2026 Monetary Policy Report to project UK CPI rising from 2.6% in June toward a 3.2% peak in Q4, reflecting direct and indirect pass-through effects that support the leading 3.5–3.9% market-implied odds for 2026 annual inflation. The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% amid split votes, citing contained second-round risks but upside uncertainty from volatile wholesale costs. Fiscal measures in the 2025 Budget are expected to trim inflation by 0.4 percentage points, while underlying goods disinflation and slack in the labor market could cap outcomes below 3%. Traders price in a wide distribution around the BoE's central path, with the next MPC decision and October CPI release as near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.5–3.9% 27.4%
2.5–2.9% 11.5%
4.5%及以上 8%
4.0-4.4% 7.0%
$99,132 交易量
$99,132 交易量
2027-01-19
低于1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
7%
2.5–2.9%
11%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
27%
4.0-4.4%
7%
4.5%及以上
8%
3.5–3.9% 27.4%
2.5–2.9% 11.5%
4.5%及以上 8%
4.0-4.4% 7.0%
$99,132 交易量
$99,132 交易量
2027-01-19
低于1.0%
$945 交易量
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,437 交易量
3%
1.5–1.9%
$2,642 交易量
4%
2.0–2.4%
$16,311 交易量
7%
2.5–2.9%
$22,591 交易量
11%
3.0–3.4%
$0 交易量
-
3.5–3.9%
$37,547 交易量
27%
4.0-4.4%
$8,657 交易量
7%
4.5%及以上
$9,003 交易量
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent Middle East energy price volatility has driven the Bank of England's July 2026 Monetary Policy Report to project UK CPI rising from 2.6% in June toward a 3.2% peak in Q4, reflecting direct and indirect pass-through effects that support the leading 3.5–3.9% market-implied odds for 2026 annual inflation. The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% amid split votes, citing contained second-round risks but upside uncertainty from volatile wholesale costs. Fiscal measures in the 2025 Budget are expected to trim inflation by 0.4 percentage points, while underlying goods disinflation and slack in the labor market could cap outcomes below 3%. Traders price in a wide distribution around the BoE's central path, with the next MPC decision and October CPI release as near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$99,132结束日期
2027-01-20市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETThis is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent Middle East energy price volatility has driven the Bank of England's July 2026 Monetary Policy Report to project UK CPI rising from 2.6% in June toward a 3.2% peak in Q4, reflecting direct and indirect pass-through effects that support the leading 3.5–3.9% market-implied odds for 2026 annual inflation. The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% amid split votes, citing contained second-round risks but upside uncertainty from volatile wholesale costs. Fiscal measures in the 2025 Budget are expected to trim inflation by 0.4 percentage points, while underlying goods disinflation and slack in the labor market could cap outcomes below 3%. Traders price in a wide distribution around the BoE's central path, with the next MPC decision and October CPI release as near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
交易量
$99,132结束日期
2027-01-20市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETRecent Middle East energy price volatility has driven the Bank of England's July 2026 Monetary Policy Report to project UK CPI rising from 2.6% in June toward a 3.2% peak in Q4, reflecting direct and indirect pass-through effects that support the leading 3.5–3.9% market-implied odds for 2026 annual inflation. The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% amid split votes, citing contained second-round risks but upside uncertainty from volatile wholesale costs. Fiscal measures in the 2025 Budget are expected to trim inflation by 0.4 percentage points, while underlying goods disinflation and slack in the labor market could cap outcomes below 3%. Traders price in a wide distribution around the BoE's central path, with the next MPC decision and October CPI release as near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题