Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding the 54.3 consensus and July's 54.1, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading by highlighting resilient services demand amid new orders at 60.9 and business activity at 61.7. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment remains in contraction at 47.8, tempering expectations for sustained momentum. Market-implied odds concentrate in the 54.0-55.9 range as participants weigh summer seasonality and AI-driven spending against the 12-month average near 53.7 and cautious hiring trends. The early-October release will test whether these dynamics moderate or extend the 26-month expansion streak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于54.0到54.9 35%
55.0到55.9 24%
57.0到57.9 23%
53.0到53.9 19%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
低于51.0
2%
51.0到51.9
9%
52.0到52.9
9%
53.0到53.9
19%
54.0到54.9
35%
55.0到55.9
24%
56.0到56.9
14%
57.0到57.9
23%
58.0到58.9
9%
59.0+
11%
54.0到54.9 35%
55.0到55.9 24%
57.0到57.9 23%
53.0到53.9 19%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
低于51.0
$23 交易量
2%
51.0到51.9
$23 交易量
9%
52.0到52.9
$23 交易量
9%
53.0到53.9
$46 交易量
19%
54.0到54.9
$23 交易量
35%
55.0到55.9
$23 交易量
24%
56.0到56.9
$46 交易量
14%
57.0到57.9
$22 交易量
23%
58.0到58.9
$23 交易量
9%
59.0+
$23 交易量
11%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding the 54.3 consensus and July's 54.1, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading by highlighting resilient services demand amid new orders at 60.9 and business activity at 61.7. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment remains in contraction at 47.8, tempering expectations for sustained momentum. Market-implied odds concentrate in the 54.0-55.9 range as participants weigh summer seasonality and AI-driven spending against the 12-month average near 53.7 and cautious hiring trends. The early-October release will test whether these dynamics moderate or extend the 26-month expansion streak.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$278结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding the 54.3 consensus and July's 54.1, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading by highlighting resilient services demand amid new orders at 60.9 and business activity at 61.7. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment remains in contraction at 47.8, tempering expectations for sustained momentum. Market-implied odds concentrate in the 54.0-55.9 range as participants weigh summer seasonality and AI-driven spending against the 12-month average near 53.7 and cautious hiring trends. The early-October release will test whether these dynamics moderate or extend the 26-month expansion streak.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$278结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETRecent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding the 54.3 consensus and July's 54.1, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading by highlighting resilient services demand amid new orders at 60.9 and business activity at 61.7. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment remains in contraction at 47.8, tempering expectations for sustained momentum. Market-implied odds concentrate in the 54.0-55.9 range as participants weigh summer seasonality and AI-driven spending against the 12-month average near 53.7 and cautious hiring trends. The early-October release will test whether these dynamics moderate or extend the 26-month expansion streak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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