Recent surges in the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.27% reflect persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions, combined with large fiscal deficits and robust economic data. Traders have priced in a roughly 65% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, following hawkish signals from officials including Chairman Kevin Warsh and Governor Michael Barr. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's expanded buyback program provided only temporary relief to long-end yields. Key upcoming releases including the August employment report on September 4, CPI on September 11, and PPI on September 10 will likely influence whether yields test higher levels or stabilize near current readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
5.60%
50%
5.55%
50%
5.50%
50%
5.45%
99%
5.42%
99%
5.39%
50%
5.36%
99%
5.33%
99%
5.30%
99%
$0.00 交易量
5.60%
$0 交易量
50%
5.55%
$0 交易量
50%
5.50%
$0 交易量
50%
5.45%
$0 交易量
99%
5.42%
$0 交易量
99%
5.39%
$0 交易量
50%
5.36%
$0 交易量
99%
5.33%
$0 交易量
99%
5.30%
$0 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent surges in the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.27% reflect persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions, combined with large fiscal deficits and robust economic data. Traders have priced in a roughly 65% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, following hawkish signals from officials including Chairman Kevin Warsh and Governor Michael Barr. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's expanded buyback program provided only temporary relief to long-end yields. Key upcoming releases including the August employment report on September 4, CPI on September 11, and PPI on September 10 will likely influence whether yields test higher levels or stabilize near current readings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent surges in the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.27% reflect persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions, combined with large fiscal deficits and robust economic data. Traders have priced in a roughly 65% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, following hawkish signals from officials including Chairman Kevin Warsh and Governor Michael Barr. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's expanded buyback program provided only temporary relief to long-end yields. Key upcoming releases including the August employment report on September 4, CPI on September 11, and PPI on September 10 will likely influence whether yields test higher levels or stabilize near current readings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETRecent surges in the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.27% reflect persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions, combined with large fiscal deficits and robust economic data. Traders have priced in a roughly 65% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, following hawkish signals from officials including Chairman Kevin Warsh and Governor Michael Barr. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's expanded buyback program provided only temporary relief to long-end yields. Key upcoming releases including the August employment report on September 4, CPI on September 11, and PPI on September 10 will likely influence whether yields test higher levels or stabilize near current readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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