Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran and resulting disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz have lifted Brent crude above $91 per barrel and WTI near $85 as of mid-August 2026, supporting elevated prices amid supply constraints of several million barrels per day. These developments have narrowed the gap to the 2008 all-time high near $150, though forecasts from the EIA and IEA project Brent averaging $85 in the third quarter before declining toward $69 by 2027 as inventories rebuild and Persian Gulf flows recover. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty around demand weakness—particularly in China—OPEC+ supply adjustments, U.S. export dynamics, and any potential escalation or de-escalation that could alter the balance between inventories and consumption. Key near-term catalysts include further conflict resolution talks and upcoming inventory reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2,576,078 交易量
2026-09-30
September 30
3%
December 31
13%
$2,576,078 交易量
September 30
$1,042,322 交易量
3%
December 31
$742,787 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran and resulting disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz have lifted Brent crude above $91 per barrel and WTI near $85 as of mid-August 2026, supporting elevated prices amid supply constraints of several million barrels per day. These developments have narrowed the gap to the 2008 all-time high near $150, though forecasts from the EIA and IEA project Brent averaging $85 in the third quarter before declining toward $69 by 2027 as inventories rebuild and Persian Gulf flows recover. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty around demand weakness—particularly in China—OPEC+ supply adjustments, U.S. export dynamics, and any potential escalation or de-escalation that could alter the balance between inventories and consumption. Key near-term catalysts include further conflict resolution talks and upcoming inventory reports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$2,576,078结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran and resulting disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz have lifted Brent crude above $91 per barrel and WTI near $85 as of mid-August 2026, supporting elevated prices amid supply constraints of several million barrels per day. These developments have narrowed the gap to the 2008 all-time high near $150, though forecasts from the EIA and IEA project Brent averaging $85 in the third quarter before declining toward $69 by 2027 as inventories rebuild and Persian Gulf flows recover. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty around demand weakness—particularly in China—OPEC+ supply adjustments, U.S. export dynamics, and any potential escalation or de-escalation that could alter the balance between inventories and consumption. Key near-term catalysts include further conflict resolution talks and upcoming inventory reports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$2,576,078结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran and resulting disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz have lifted Brent crude above $91 per barrel and WTI near $85 as of mid-August 2026, supporting elevated prices amid supply constraints of several million barrels per day. These developments have narrowed the gap to the 2008 all-time high near $150, though forecasts from the EIA and IEA project Brent averaging $85 in the third quarter before declining toward $69 by 2027 as inventories rebuild and Persian Gulf flows recover. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty around demand weakness—particularly in China—OPEC+ supply adjustments, U.S. export dynamics, and any potential escalation or de-escalation that could alter the balance between inventories and consumption. Key near-term catalysts include further conflict resolution talks and upcoming inventory reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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