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icon for 天然气是否会在8月底前到达__ ?

天然气是否会在8月底前到达__ ?

icon for 天然气是否会在8月底前到达__ ?

天然气是否会在8月底前到达__ ?

8月 31

8月 31

最新
2026-08-31
Polymarket

$5,079 交易量

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$1,576 交易量

6%

↑ $4.75

$70 交易量

16%

↑ $4.50

$564 交易量

33%

↑ $4.25

$1,121 交易量

66%

↓ 3.90美元

$181 交易量

47%

↓ $3.70

$1,327 交易量

29%

↓ $3.50

$22 交易量

12%

↓ $3.25

$0 交易量

14%

↓ $3.00

$0 交易量

14%

↓ $2.50

$218 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Crude oil and refined product futures remain the dominant drivers for gasoline price markets, with recent EIA weekly inventory data showing modest builds that have tempered upward momentum despite peak summer driving demand. Natural gas benchmarks face additional pressure from weather models forecasting above-average temperatures through late August, supporting cooling demand while hurricane season risks in the Gulf introduce supply disruption potential. Traders are watching the next FOMC meeting and any shifts in Treasury yields that could influence broader risk appetite and energy sector valuations. The proximity to month-end resolution heightens sensitivity to weekly storage reports and any late-month refinery maintenance announcements that could alter crack spreads or regional price benchmarks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$5,079
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Crude oil and refined product futures remain the dominant drivers for gasoline price markets, with recent EIA weekly inventory data showing modest builds that have tempered upward momentum despite peak summer driving demand. Natural gas benchmarks face additional pressure from weather models forecasting above-average temperatures through late August, supporting cooling demand while hurricane season risks in the Gulf introduce supply disruption potential. Traders are watching the next FOMC meeting and any shifts in Treasury yields that could influence broader risk appetite and energy sector valuations. The proximity to month-end resolution heightens sensitivity to weekly storage reports and any late-month refinery maintenance announcements that could alter crack spreads or regional price benchmarks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$5,079
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"天然气是否会在8月底前到达__ ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"↑ $4.25",概率为 66%,其次是"↓ 3.90美元",概率为 47%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 66¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 66%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"天然气是否会在8月底前到达__ ?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 29, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"天然气是否会在8月底前到达__ ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"天然气是否会在8月底前到达__ ?"的当前领先者是"↑ $4.25",概率为 66%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 66%。紧随其后的结果是"↓ 3.90美元",概率为 47%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"天然气是否会在8月底前到达__ ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。