OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift toward a 2027 IPO, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation floor, anchor trader sentiment around elevated closing market caps. The company’s most recent private round priced it at $852 billion in March, with an August tender offer reaffirming that level amid roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run-rate and continued user expansion. Market-implied odds place a 1.5T+ outcome at 56 percent, reflecting expectations that strong AI demand, infrastructure commitments, and potential step-change catalysts like model releases will command a substantial premium over the private mark once public. The low 4.8 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 2027 underscores broad consensus that the listing will occur within the window, tempered by ongoing losses and execution risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.5万亿以上 56.0%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿 14%
1万亿–1.25万亿 13.3%
7500亿–1万亿 9%
$186,360 交易量
$186,360 交易量
2027-12-31
低于5000亿
<1%
5000亿–7500亿美元
1%
7500亿–1万亿
9%
1万亿–1.25万亿
13%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿
14%
1.5万亿以上
56%
2027年12月31日前不进行IPO
5%
1.5万亿以上 56.0%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿 14%
1万亿–1.25万亿 13.3%
7500亿–1万亿 9%
$186,360 交易量
$186,360 交易量
2027-12-31
低于5000亿
$16,441 交易量
<1%
5000亿–7500亿美元
$17,327 交易量
1%
7500亿–1万亿
$32,666 交易量
9%
1万亿–1.25万亿
$23,245 交易量
13%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿
$13,813 交易量
14%
1.5万亿以上
$45,010 交易量
56%
2027年12月31日前不进行IPO
$37,858 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift toward a 2027 IPO, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation floor, anchor trader sentiment around elevated closing market caps. The company’s most recent private round priced it at $852 billion in March, with an August tender offer reaffirming that level amid roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run-rate and continued user expansion. Market-implied odds place a 1.5T+ outcome at 56 percent, reflecting expectations that strong AI demand, infrastructure commitments, and potential step-change catalysts like model releases will command a substantial premium over the private mark once public. The low 4.8 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 2027 underscores broad consensus that the listing will occur within the window, tempered by ongoing losses and execution risks.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$186,360结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift toward a 2027 IPO, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation floor, anchor trader sentiment around elevated closing market caps. The company’s most recent private round priced it at $852 billion in March, with an August tender offer reaffirming that level amid roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run-rate and continued user expansion. Market-implied odds place a 1.5T+ outcome at 56 percent, reflecting expectations that strong AI demand, infrastructure commitments, and potential step-change catalysts like model releases will command a substantial premium over the private mark once public. The low 4.8 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 2027 underscores broad consensus that the listing will occur within the window, tempered by ongoing losses and execution risks.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$186,360结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETOpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift toward a 2027 IPO, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation floor, anchor trader sentiment around elevated closing market caps. The company’s most recent private round priced it at $852 billion in March, with an August tender offer reaffirming that level amid roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run-rate and continued user expansion. Market-implied odds place a 1.5T+ outcome at 56 percent, reflecting expectations that strong AI demand, infrastructure commitments, and potential step-change catalysts like model releases will command a substantial premium over the private mark once public. The low 4.8 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 2027 underscores broad consensus that the listing will occur within the window, tempered by ongoing losses and execution risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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