OpenAI's March 2026 $122 billion funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation, while its June confidential S-1 filing and reports of a potential 2027 IPO timing versus late-2026 ambitions have shaped trader views on public-market pricing. With annualized revenue near $25 billion and projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion, implied multiples near 40x sales at the $1.75–2.0 trillion band reflect bets on sustained hypergrowth in enterprise API and ChatGPT subscriptions amid competition from Anthropic and Google. Uncertainty around governance restructuring, capital intensity for model training, and broader tech IPO sentiment keeps the distribution tight across $1.25–2.0 trillion outcomes, with $1 trillion-plus targets cited by analysts but unconfirmed by the company.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.25T–$1.5T 17.9%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.5%
$1.0T–$1.25T 13%
$57,715 交易量
$57,715 交易量
<$1T
9%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
18%
$1.5T–$1.75T
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
7%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.25T–$1.5T 17.9%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.5%
$1.0T–$1.25T 13%
$57,715 交易量
$57,715 交易量
<$1T
9%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
18%
$1.5T–$1.75T
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
7%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's March 2026 $122 billion funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation, while its June confidential S-1 filing and reports of a potential 2027 IPO timing versus late-2026 ambitions have shaped trader views on public-market pricing. With annualized revenue near $25 billion and projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion, implied multiples near 40x sales at the $1.75–2.0 trillion band reflect bets on sustained hypergrowth in enterprise API and ChatGPT subscriptions amid competition from Anthropic and Google. Uncertainty around governance restructuring, capital intensity for model training, and broader tech IPO sentiment keeps the distribution tight across $1.25–2.0 trillion outcomes, with $1 trillion-plus targets cited by analysts but unconfirmed by the company.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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警惕外部链接哦。
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