OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors baseline expectations, while its ~$25 billion annualized revenue run rate and ongoing $14–33 billion projected losses for the year support a 30–40x multiple that markets view as ambitious. Confidential S-1 filing in June and the subsequent shift toward a potential 2027 listing have introduced timing uncertainty, allowing further revenue scaling or improved equity-market conditions to influence final pricing. With the four leading valuation brackets clustered between 15–19 percent implied probability, trader consensus reflects balanced bets on whether AI demand growth, competitive pressures from Anthropic, and capital-market appetite can justify expansion above the private mark or compress toward lower multiples.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.25T–$1.5T 18.1%
$1.0T–$1.25T 16%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.6%
$56,948 交易量
$56,948 交易量
2027-07-01
<$1T
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
16%
$1.25T–$1.5T
18%
$1.5T–$1.75T
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
7%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.25T–$1.5T 18.1%
$1.0T–$1.25T 16%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.6%
$56,948 交易量
$56,948 交易量
2027-07-01
<$1T
$4,314 交易量
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$5,952 交易量
16%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$3,532 交易量
18%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$2,664 交易量
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$8,219 交易量
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$1,996 交易量
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$1,955 交易量
5%
$2.5T+
$28,317 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors baseline expectations, while its ~$25 billion annualized revenue run rate and ongoing $14–33 billion projected losses for the year support a 30–40x multiple that markets view as ambitious. Confidential S-1 filing in June and the subsequent shift toward a potential 2027 listing have introduced timing uncertainty, allowing further revenue scaling or improved equity-market conditions to influence final pricing. With the four leading valuation brackets clustered between 15–19 percent implied probability, trader consensus reflects balanced bets on whether AI demand growth, competitive pressures from Anthropic, and capital-market appetite can justify expansion above the private mark or compress toward lower multiples.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
交易量
$56,948结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors baseline expectations, while its ~$25 billion annualized revenue run rate and ongoing $14–33 billion projected losses for the year support a 30–40x multiple that markets view as ambitious. Confidential S-1 filing in June and the subsequent shift toward a potential 2027 listing have introduced timing uncertainty, allowing further revenue scaling or improved equity-market conditions to influence final pricing. With the four leading valuation brackets clustered between 15–19 percent implied probability, trader consensus reflects balanced bets on whether AI demand growth, competitive pressures from Anthropic, and capital-market appetite can justify expansion above the private mark or compress toward lower multiples.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$56,948结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors baseline expectations, while its ~$25 billion annualized revenue run rate and ongoing $14–33 billion projected losses for the year support a 30–40x multiple that markets view as ambitious. Confidential S-1 filing in June and the subsequent shift toward a potential 2027 listing have introduced timing uncertainty, allowing further revenue scaling or improved equity-market conditions to influence final pricing. With the four leading valuation brackets clustered between 15–19 percent implied probability, trader consensus reflects balanced bets on whether AI demand growth, competitive pressures from Anthropic, and capital-market appetite can justify expansion above the private mark or compress toward lower multiples.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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