Trader consensus on OpenAI's IPO raise size centers on lower outcomes, led by the <$30 billion bucket at 40.1% implied probability, reflecting the company's record $122 billion private round closed at an $852 billion valuation in March 2026. That capital influx, alongside confidential S-1 filing in June and signals of a potential 2027 listing, has reduced near-term funding pressure amid elevated infrastructure spending and ongoing losses. Revenue scaling—reportedly exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise growth—supports ambitious $1 trillion valuation targets, yet IPO market conditions and burn-rate concerns cap expectations for outsized equity issuance. Upcoming catalysts include any revised filing timeline or macroeconomic shifts affecting tech offerings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 41.4%
$80B–$90B 22.1%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
41%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
22%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
15%
<$30B 41.4%
$80B–$90B 22.1%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
41%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
22%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
15%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on OpenAI's IPO raise size centers on lower outcomes, led by the <$30 billion bucket at 40.1% implied probability, reflecting the company's record $122 billion private round closed at an $852 billion valuation in March 2026. That capital influx, alongside confidential S-1 filing in June and signals of a potential 2027 listing, has reduced near-term funding pressure amid elevated infrastructure spending and ongoing losses. Revenue scaling—reportedly exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise growth—supports ambitious $1 trillion valuation targets, yet IPO market conditions and burn-rate concerns cap expectations for outsized equity issuance. Upcoming catalysts include any revised filing timeline or macroeconomic shifts affecting tech offerings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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