OpenAI’s decision to defer any IPO until 2027, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a valuation near or above $1 trillion amid AI safety priorities, is the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for the company’s eventual closing market capitalization. The March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, backed by $122 billion in commitments from investors including SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia, established a high baseline, with fresh discussions reportedly targeting $1.2 trillion in another private raise. Revenue has reached a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate, yet GAAP losses are projected near $14 billion for 2026, underscoring the premium investors place on growth and competitive positioning versus peers like Anthropic. Market conditions, including recent tech IPO volatility, further support elevated private valuations over an immediate public listing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,534,895 交易量
$1,534,895 交易量
2027-12-30
8000亿美元
94%
1万亿美元
84%
1.2万亿美元
75%
1.4万亿美元
75%
1.6万亿美元
74%
$1,534,895 交易量
$1,534,895 交易量
2027-12-30
8000亿美元
$111,286 交易量
94%
1万亿美元
$1,051,130 交易量
84%
1.2万亿美元
$250,229 交易量
75%
1.4万亿美元
$70,422 交易量
75%
1.6万亿美元
$51,829 交易量
74%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s decision to defer any IPO until 2027, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a valuation near or above $1 trillion amid AI safety priorities, is the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for the company’s eventual closing market capitalization. The March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, backed by $122 billion in commitments from investors including SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia, established a high baseline, with fresh discussions reportedly targeting $1.2 trillion in another private raise. Revenue has reached a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate, yet GAAP losses are projected near $14 billion for 2026, underscoring the premium investors place on growth and competitive positioning versus peers like Anthropic. Market conditions, including recent tech IPO volatility, further support elevated private valuations over an immediate public listing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$1,534,895结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s decision to defer any IPO until 2027, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a valuation near or above $1 trillion amid AI safety priorities, is the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for the company’s eventual closing market capitalization. The March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, backed by $122 billion in commitments from investors including SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia, established a high baseline, with fresh discussions reportedly targeting $1.2 trillion in another private raise. Revenue has reached a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate, yet GAAP losses are projected near $14 billion for 2026, underscoring the premium investors place on growth and competitive positioning versus peers like Anthropic. Market conditions, including recent tech IPO volatility, further support elevated private valuations over an immediate public listing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,534,895结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETOpenAI’s decision to defer any IPO until 2027, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a valuation near or above $1 trillion amid AI safety priorities, is the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for the company’s eventual closing market capitalization. The March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, backed by $122 billion in commitments from investors including SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia, established a high baseline, with fresh discussions reportedly targeting $1.2 trillion in another private raise. Revenue has reached a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate, yet GAAP losses are projected near $14 billion for 2026, underscoring the premium investors place on growth and competitive positioning versus peers like Anthropic. Market conditions, including recent tech IPO volatility, further support elevated private valuations over an immediate public listing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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