OpenAI’s IPO timing and valuation prospects hinge on its push for a $1 trillion-plus debut amid ongoing losses and rapid private-market gains. The company closed its March 2026 round at an $852 billion post-money valuation on $122 billion in commitments and is now exploring fresh investor talks that could reach $1.2 trillion, even as CEO Sam Altman ruled out a 2026 listing on September 12, citing AI safety and alignment priorities. With a roughly $24 billion annualized revenue run rate but projected heavy 2026 losses, sentiment around closing market cap reflects skepticism over whether public investors will sustain the premium demanded after the confidential S-1 filing in June. Key near-term catalysts include any announced new funding close, FOMC rate signals affecting growth multiples, and broader tech IPO performance that could set precedents for AI names.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,534,895 交易量
$1,534,895 交易量
2027-12-30
8000亿美元
94%
1万亿美元
84%
1.2万亿美元
80%
1.4万亿美元
75%
1.6万亿美元
74%
$1,534,895 交易量
$1,534,895 交易量
2027-12-30
8000亿美元
$111,286 交易量
94%
1万亿美元
$1,051,130 交易量
84%
1.2万亿美元
$250,229 交易量
80%
1.4万亿美元
$70,422 交易量
75%
1.6万亿美元
$51,829 交易量
74%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s IPO timing and valuation prospects hinge on its push for a $1 trillion-plus debut amid ongoing losses and rapid private-market gains. The company closed its March 2026 round at an $852 billion post-money valuation on $122 billion in commitments and is now exploring fresh investor talks that could reach $1.2 trillion, even as CEO Sam Altman ruled out a 2026 listing on September 12, citing AI safety and alignment priorities. With a roughly $24 billion annualized revenue run rate but projected heavy 2026 losses, sentiment around closing market cap reflects skepticism over whether public investors will sustain the premium demanded after the confidential S-1 filing in June. Key near-term catalysts include any announced new funding close, FOMC rate signals affecting growth multiples, and broader tech IPO performance that could set precedents for AI names.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$1,534,895结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s IPO timing and valuation prospects hinge on its push for a $1 trillion-plus debut amid ongoing losses and rapid private-market gains. The company closed its March 2026 round at an $852 billion post-money valuation on $122 billion in commitments and is now exploring fresh investor talks that could reach $1.2 trillion, even as CEO Sam Altman ruled out a 2026 listing on September 12, citing AI safety and alignment priorities. With a roughly $24 billion annualized revenue run rate but projected heavy 2026 losses, sentiment around closing market cap reflects skepticism over whether public investors will sustain the premium demanded after the confidential S-1 filing in June. Key near-term catalysts include any announced new funding close, FOMC rate signals affecting growth multiples, and broader tech IPO performance that could set precedents for AI names.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,534,895结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETOpenAI’s IPO timing and valuation prospects hinge on its push for a $1 trillion-plus debut amid ongoing losses and rapid private-market gains. The company closed its March 2026 round at an $852 billion post-money valuation on $122 billion in commitments and is now exploring fresh investor talks that could reach $1.2 trillion, even as CEO Sam Altman ruled out a 2026 listing on September 12, citing AI safety and alignment priorities. With a roughly $24 billion annualized revenue run rate but projected heavy 2026 losses, sentiment around closing market cap reflects skepticism over whether public investors will sustain the premium demanded after the confidential S-1 filing in June. Key near-term catalysts include any announced new funding close, FOMC rate signals affecting growth multiples, and broader tech IPO performance that could set precedents for AI names.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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