Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, ahead of OpenAI's submission the following week, underpins the 75.5% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic to reach public markets first. This timing advantage accelerates the regulatory review process for the Claude developer, whose recent funding rounds and preparations with firms like Wilson Sonsini positioned it ahead in the AI IPO pipeline. Both companies target late-2026 or 2027 debuts amid strong market conditions for large language model leaders, yet Anthropic's head start on paperwork and internal readiness creates a meaningful edge. Traders view the outcome as hinging on SEC timelines and any unforeseen delays in OpenAI's path, with the filing sequence serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
$160,455 交易量
$160,455 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$160,455 交易量
$160,455 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, ahead of OpenAI's submission the following week, underpins the 75.5% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic to reach public markets first. This timing advantage accelerates the regulatory review process for the Claude developer, whose recent funding rounds and preparations with firms like Wilson Sonsini positioned it ahead in the AI IPO pipeline. Both companies target late-2026 or 2027 debuts amid strong market conditions for large language model leaders, yet Anthropic's head start on paperwork and internal readiness creates a meaningful edge. Traders view the outcome as hinging on SEC timelines and any unforeseen delays in OpenAI's path, with the filing sequence serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$160,455结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, ahead of OpenAI's submission the following week, underpins the 75.5% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic to reach public markets first. This timing advantage accelerates the regulatory review process for the Claude developer, whose recent funding rounds and preparations with firms like Wilson Sonsini positioned it ahead in the AI IPO pipeline. Both companies target late-2026 or 2027 debuts amid strong market conditions for large language model leaders, yet Anthropic's head start on paperwork and internal readiness creates a meaningful edge. Traders view the outcome as hinging on SEC timelines and any unforeseen delays in OpenAI's path, with the filing sequence serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$160,455结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, ahead of OpenAI's submission the following week, underpins the 75.5% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic to reach public markets first. This timing advantage accelerates the regulatory review process for the Claude developer, whose recent funding rounds and preparations with firms like Wilson Sonsini positioned it ahead in the AI IPO pipeline. Both companies target late-2026 or 2027 debuts amid strong market conditions for large language model leaders, yet Anthropic's head start on paperwork and internal readiness creates a meaningful edge. Traders view the outcome as hinging on SEC timelines and any unforeseen delays in OpenAI's path, with the filing sequence serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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