Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has driven trader consensus toward a 73.5% implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move, following a $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, positions Anthropic to complete regulatory review and potentially list as early as this fall, ahead of OpenAI’s still-pending filing despite earlier reports of imminent preparations. Both artificial intelligence labs face similar capital needs and competitive pressures, yet Anthropic’s executed step in the process creates a clearer near-term path while OpenAI continues internal restructuring and banker discussions. Market conditions and any delays in OpenAI’s timeline remain key swing factors for the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
$104,325 交易量
$104,325 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$104,325 交易量
$104,325 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has driven trader consensus toward a 73.5% implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move, following a $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, positions Anthropic to complete regulatory review and potentially list as early as this fall, ahead of OpenAI’s still-pending filing despite earlier reports of imminent preparations. Both artificial intelligence labs face similar capital needs and competitive pressures, yet Anthropic’s executed step in the process creates a clearer near-term path while OpenAI continues internal restructuring and banker discussions. Market conditions and any delays in OpenAI’s timeline remain key swing factors for the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$104,325结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has driven trader consensus toward a 73.5% implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move, following a $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, positions Anthropic to complete regulatory review and potentially list as early as this fall, ahead of OpenAI’s still-pending filing despite earlier reports of imminent preparations. Both artificial intelligence labs face similar capital needs and competitive pressures, yet Anthropic’s executed step in the process creates a clearer near-term path while OpenAI continues internal restructuring and banker discussions. Market conditions and any delays in OpenAI’s timeline remain key swing factors for the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$104,325结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has driven trader consensus toward a 73.5% implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move, following a $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, positions Anthropic to complete regulatory review and potentially list as early as this fall, ahead of OpenAI’s still-pending filing despite earlier reports of imminent preparations. Both artificial intelligence labs face similar capital needs and competitive pressures, yet Anthropic’s executed step in the process creates a clearer near-term path while OpenAI continues internal restructuring and banker discussions. Market conditions and any delays in OpenAI’s timeline remain key swing factors for the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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