Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, has driven the 82.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s engagement of Wilson Sonsini and investment banks, positioning the Claude developer for a potential fall 2026 debut after its recent funding round at roughly $965 billion valuation. OpenAI, while working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own prospectus and targeting a September or fourth-quarter window, has yet to file and continues navigating internal readiness amid heavy compute spending. Traders view Anthropic’s first-mover advantage in regulatory review and liquidity options as decisive in the competitive large language model landscape, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and execution risks typical of complex AI listings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
$113,688 交易量
$113,688 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$113,688 交易量
$113,688 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, has driven the 82.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s engagement of Wilson Sonsini and investment banks, positioning the Claude developer for a potential fall 2026 debut after its recent funding round at roughly $965 billion valuation. OpenAI, while working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own prospectus and targeting a September or fourth-quarter window, has yet to file and continues navigating internal readiness amid heavy compute spending. Traders view Anthropic’s first-mover advantage in regulatory review and liquidity options as decisive in the competitive large language model landscape, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and execution risks typical of complex AI listings.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$113,688结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, has driven the 82.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s engagement of Wilson Sonsini and investment banks, positioning the Claude developer for a potential fall 2026 debut after its recent funding round at roughly $965 billion valuation. OpenAI, while working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own prospectus and targeting a September or fourth-quarter window, has yet to file and continues navigating internal readiness amid heavy compute spending. Traders view Anthropic’s first-mover advantage in regulatory review and liquidity options as decisive in the competitive large language model landscape, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and execution risks typical of complex AI listings.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$113,688结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, has driven the 82.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s engagement of Wilson Sonsini and investment banks, positioning the Claude developer for a potential fall 2026 debut after its recent funding round at roughly $965 billion valuation. OpenAI, while working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own prospectus and targeting a September or fourth-quarter window, has yet to file and continues navigating internal readiness amid heavy compute spending. Traders view Anthropic’s first-mover advantage in regulatory review and liquidity options as decisive in the competitive large language model landscape, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and execution risks typical of complex AI listings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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