Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving the 75.5% market-implied probability it will complete an IPO before OpenAI. The filing gives Anthropic a clear procedural lead over its rival, which has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley for a prospectus but has not yet submitted paperwork despite earlier targets for a September or fourth-quarter 2026 debut. Both companies, makers of frontier large language models, face the same variables of SEC review timelines, market conditions, and execution risks typical for complex AI listings valued near $1 trillion, yet Anthropic’s recent step provides the first-mover edge in accessing public capital and liquidity for talent and compute.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
$101,119 交易量
$101,119 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$101,119 交易量
$101,119 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving the 75.5% market-implied probability it will complete an IPO before OpenAI. The filing gives Anthropic a clear procedural lead over its rival, which has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley for a prospectus but has not yet submitted paperwork despite earlier targets for a September or fourth-quarter 2026 debut. Both companies, makers of frontier large language models, face the same variables of SEC review timelines, market conditions, and execution risks typical for complex AI listings valued near $1 trillion, yet Anthropic’s recent step provides the first-mover edge in accessing public capital and liquidity for talent and compute.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$101,119结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving the 75.5% market-implied probability it will complete an IPO before OpenAI. The filing gives Anthropic a clear procedural lead over its rival, which has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley for a prospectus but has not yet submitted paperwork despite earlier targets for a September or fourth-quarter 2026 debut. Both companies, makers of frontier large language models, face the same variables of SEC review timelines, market conditions, and execution risks typical for complex AI listings valued near $1 trillion, yet Anthropic’s recent step provides the first-mover edge in accessing public capital and liquidity for talent and compute.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$101,119结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving the 75.5% market-implied probability it will complete an IPO before OpenAI. The filing gives Anthropic a clear procedural lead over its rival, which has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley for a prospectus but has not yet submitted paperwork despite earlier targets for a September or fourth-quarter 2026 debut. Both companies, makers of frontier large language models, face the same variables of SEC review timelines, market conditions, and execution risks typical for complex AI listings valued near $1 trillion, yet Anthropic’s recent step provides the first-mover edge in accessing public capital and liquidity for talent and compute.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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