**Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026—one week ahead of OpenAI's June 8 filing—has solidified trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability that Anthropic reaches public markets first.** Both AI labs, creators of leading large language models (Claude and GPT/ChatGPT), have used the confidential submission process to start the SEC review clock without committing to a launch date, with final timing hinging on market conditions, regulatory feedback, and internal priorities. Anthropic's earlier groundwork, including 2025 bank discussions and March 2026 reports targeting a possible October debut, gives it a clear procedural lead in the race to list. OpenAI's filing came later and included explicit notes that certain initiatives remain easier while private, signaling potential flexibility to delay. Traders view these staggered filings and Anthropic's longer preparation runway as the decisive near-term catalysts, though both companies could still shift timelines based on valuation windows or competitive developments in the generative AI sector.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
$146,241 交易量
$146,241 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$146,241 交易量
$146,241 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.**Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026—one week ahead of OpenAI's June 8 filing—has solidified trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability that Anthropic reaches public markets first.**
Both AI labs, creators of leading large language models (Claude and GPT/ChatGPT), have used the confidential submission process to start the SEC review clock without committing to a launch date, with final timing hinging on market conditions, regulatory feedback, and internal priorities. Anthropic's earlier groundwork, including 2025 bank discussions and March 2026 reports targeting a possible October debut, gives it a clear procedural lead in the race to list. OpenAI's filing came later and included explicit notes that certain initiatives remain easier while private, signaling potential flexibility to delay.
Traders view these staggered filings and Anthropic's longer preparation runway as the decisive near-term catalysts, though both companies could still shift timelines based on valuation windows or competitive developments in the generative AI sector.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$146,241结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.**Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026—one week ahead of OpenAI's June 8 filing—has solidified trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability that Anthropic reaches public markets first.**
Both AI labs, creators of leading large language models (Claude and GPT/ChatGPT), have used the confidential submission process to start the SEC review clock without committing to a launch date, with final timing hinging on market conditions, regulatory feedback, and internal priorities. Anthropic's earlier groundwork, including 2025 bank discussions and March 2026 reports targeting a possible October debut, gives it a clear procedural lead in the race to list. OpenAI's filing came later and included explicit notes that certain initiatives remain easier while private, signaling potential flexibility to delay.
Traders view these staggered filings and Anthropic's longer preparation runway as the decisive near-term catalysts, though both companies could still shift timelines based on valuation windows or competitive developments in the generative AI sector.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$146,241结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026—one week ahead of OpenAI's June 8 filing—has solidified trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability that Anthropic reaches public markets first.** Both AI labs, creators of leading large language models (Claude and GPT/ChatGPT), have used the confidential submission process to start the SEC review clock without committing to a launch date, with final timing hinging on market conditions, regulatory feedback, and internal priorities. Anthropic's earlier groundwork, including 2025 bank discussions and March 2026 reports targeting a possible October debut, gives it a clear procedural lead in the race to list. OpenAI's filing came later and included explicit notes that certain initiatives remain easier while private, signaling potential flexibility to delay. Traders view these staggered filings and Anthropic's longer preparation runway as the decisive near-term catalysts, though both companies could still shift timelines based on valuation windows or competitive developments in the generative AI sector.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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