Anthropic’s confidential filing of its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has positioned the Claude large language model developer ahead of rival OpenAI in the race to public markets. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation and gives it a regulatory head start that could enable a fall listing once the review process concludes. OpenAI, valued at roughly $852 billion in its latest round, continues preparatory work with underwriters but has yet to submit paperwork and faces internal questions over readiness for a potential September or fourth-quarter debut. These developments underpin the market-implied 82.5 percent probability that Anthropic reaches the public markets first, while both companies monitor broader IPO conditions and competitive AI funding dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
$113,633 交易量
$113,633 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$113,633 交易量
$113,633 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential filing of its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has positioned the Claude large language model developer ahead of rival OpenAI in the race to public markets. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation and gives it a regulatory head start that could enable a fall listing once the review process concludes. OpenAI, valued at roughly $852 billion in its latest round, continues preparatory work with underwriters but has yet to submit paperwork and faces internal questions over readiness for a potential September or fourth-quarter debut. These developments underpin the market-implied 82.5 percent probability that Anthropic reaches the public markets first, while both companies monitor broader IPO conditions and competitive AI funding dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$113,633结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential filing of its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has positioned the Claude large language model developer ahead of rival OpenAI in the race to public markets. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation and gives it a regulatory head start that could enable a fall listing once the review process concludes. OpenAI, valued at roughly $852 billion in its latest round, continues preparatory work with underwriters but has yet to submit paperwork and faces internal questions over readiness for a potential September or fourth-quarter debut. These developments underpin the market-implied 82.5 percent probability that Anthropic reaches the public markets first, while both companies monitor broader IPO conditions and competitive AI funding dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$113,633结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential filing of its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has positioned the Claude large language model developer ahead of rival OpenAI in the race to public markets. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation and gives it a regulatory head start that could enable a fall listing once the review process concludes. OpenAI, valued at roughly $852 billion in its latest round, continues preparatory work with underwriters but has yet to submit paperwork and faces internal questions over readiness for a potential September or fourth-quarter debut. These developments underpin the market-implied 82.5 percent probability that Anthropic reaches the public markets first, while both companies monitor broader IPO conditions and competitive AI funding dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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