**Trader consensus assigns an 87% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion**, driven by the company's explosive revenue trajectory and positioning as a frontier AI leader. Recent reports confirm the confidential S-1 filed in June is advancing toward a late-September public prospectus and mid-October roadshow, with bankers discussing valuations near $2 trillion—roughly double the $965 billion Series H post-money from May. Key supporting factors include annualized revenue run-rate climbing from $47 billion in May to $65 billion by July end, alongside 2028 forecasts of $190–200 billion that underpin aggressive forward multiples. New model releases such as Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 in early September further signal capability momentum, while competitive dynamics in the large language model space and enterprise adoption reinforce expectations of sustained hypergrowth ahead of the planned listing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.8T+ 87%
1.5–1.8T 10.0%
1.2–1.5T 2.6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 1.1%
$407,040 交易量
$407,040 交易量
2027-12-31
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
3%
1.5–1.8T
10%
1.8T+
87%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
1.8T+ 87%
1.5–1.8T 10.0%
1.2–1.5T 2.6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 1.1%
$407,040 交易量
$407,040 交易量
2027-12-31
<0.6T
$20,749 交易量
1%
0.6–0.9T
$26,306 交易量
<1%
0.9–1.2T
$26,613 交易量
1%
1.2–1.5T
$34,286 交易量
3%
1.5–1.8T
$47,784 交易量
10%
1.8T+
$200,106 交易量
87%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$51,196 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Trader consensus assigns an 87% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion**, driven by the company's explosive revenue trajectory and positioning as a frontier AI leader. Recent reports confirm the confidential S-1 filed in June is advancing toward a late-September public prospectus and mid-October roadshow, with bankers discussing valuations near $2 trillion—roughly double the $965 billion Series H post-money from May. Key supporting factors include annualized revenue run-rate climbing from $47 billion in May to $65 billion by July end, alongside 2028 forecasts of $190–200 billion that underpin aggressive forward multiples. New model releases such as Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 in early September further signal capability momentum, while competitive dynamics in the large language model space and enterprise adoption reinforce expectations of sustained hypergrowth ahead of the planned listing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
交易量
$407,040结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Trader consensus assigns an 87% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion**, driven by the company's explosive revenue trajectory and positioning as a frontier AI leader. Recent reports confirm the confidential S-1 filed in June is advancing toward a late-September public prospectus and mid-October roadshow, with bankers discussing valuations near $2 trillion—roughly double the $965 billion Series H post-money from May. Key supporting factors include annualized revenue run-rate climbing from $47 billion in May to $65 billion by July end, alongside 2028 forecasts of $190–200 billion that underpin aggressive forward multiples. New model releases such as Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 in early September further signal capability momentum, while competitive dynamics in the large language model space and enterprise adoption reinforce expectations of sustained hypergrowth ahead of the planned listing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$407,040结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET**Trader consensus assigns an 87% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion**, driven by the company's explosive revenue trajectory and positioning as a frontier AI leader. Recent reports confirm the confidential S-1 filed in June is advancing toward a late-September public prospectus and mid-October roadshow, with bankers discussing valuations near $2 trillion—roughly double the $965 billion Series H post-money from May. Key supporting factors include annualized revenue run-rate climbing from $47 billion in May to $65 billion by July end, alongside 2028 forecasts of $190–200 billion that underpin aggressive forward multiples. New model releases such as Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 in early September further signal capability momentum, while competitive dynamics in the large language model space and enterprise adoption reinforce expectations of sustained hypergrowth ahead of the planned listing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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