Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, remains the dominant catalyst behind the 62% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO, as the standard three-to-six-month review window positions a fall listing as the procedural baseline. Strong revenue momentum, multi-billion-dollar backing from Amazon and Google, and reported engagement with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced trader confidence that the company can meet the necessary milestones ahead of broader AI-market volatility. While secondary-market valuations near $1.2 trillion underscore robust demand, outcomes could still shift if regulatory feedback extends the timeline or macro conditions deteriorate. The next key catalysts include any public S-1 release and final pricing decisions, both expected to clarify whether September or October remains feasible.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年10月 62%
2026年11月 11%
2026年9月 9%
2027年6月 6%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
2026年9月
9%
2026年10月
62%
2026年11月
11%
2026 年 12 月
5%
2027年1月
5%
2027年2月
5%
2027年3月
5%
2027年4月
4%
2027年5月
5%
2027年6月
6%
2027 年 7 月
4%
2027年8月
4%
2027年9月
4%
2027年10月
1%
2027年11月
4%
2027 年 12 月
4%
2028年前不上市
5%
2026年10月 62%
2026年11月 11%
2026年9月 9%
2027年6月 6%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
2026年9月
$28 交易量
9%
2026年10月
$117 交易量
62%
2026年11月
$28 交易量
11%
2026 年 12 月
$28 交易量
5%
2027年1月
$28 交易量
5%
2027年2月
$28 交易量
5%
2027年3月
$67 交易量
5%
2027年4月
$28 交易量
4%
2027年5月
$78 交易量
5%
2027年6月
$99 交易量
6%
2027 年 7 月
$28 交易量
4%
2027年8月
$28 交易量
4%
2027年9月
$28 交易量
4%
2027年10月
$28 交易量
1%
2027年11月
$28 交易量
4%
2027 年 12 月
$28 交易量
4%
2028年前不上市
$28 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, remains the dominant catalyst behind the 62% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO, as the standard three-to-six-month review window positions a fall listing as the procedural baseline. Strong revenue momentum, multi-billion-dollar backing from Amazon and Google, and reported engagement with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced trader confidence that the company can meet the necessary milestones ahead of broader AI-market volatility. While secondary-market valuations near $1.2 trillion underscore robust demand, outcomes could still shift if regulatory feedback extends the timeline or macro conditions deteriorate. The next key catalysts include any public S-1 release and final pricing decisions, both expected to clarify whether September or October remains feasible.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
交易量
$725结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, remains the dominant catalyst behind the 62% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO, as the standard three-to-six-month review window positions a fall listing as the procedural baseline. Strong revenue momentum, multi-billion-dollar backing from Amazon and Google, and reported engagement with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced trader confidence that the company can meet the necessary milestones ahead of broader AI-market volatility. While secondary-market valuations near $1.2 trillion underscore robust demand, outcomes could still shift if regulatory feedback extends the timeline or macro conditions deteriorate. The next key catalysts include any public S-1 release and final pricing decisions, both expected to clarify whether September or October remains feasible.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
交易量
$725结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, remains the dominant catalyst behind the 62% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO, as the standard three-to-six-month review window positions a fall listing as the procedural baseline. Strong revenue momentum, multi-billion-dollar backing from Amazon and Google, and reported engagement with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced trader confidence that the company can meet the necessary milestones ahead of broader AI-market volatility. While secondary-market valuations near $1.2 trillion underscore robust demand, outcomes could still shift if regulatory feedback extends the timeline or macro conditions deteriorate. The next key catalysts include any public S-1 release and final pricing decisions, both expected to clarify whether September or October remains feasible.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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