Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June and then July 2026, continue to drive the evenly matched Polymarket odds across late-August through early-November windows. The model remains in partner testing after extra tuning for reasoning and agentic performance to match rivals like OpenAI’s latest releases, while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants shipped in July. Traders see few firm signals on final certification or public rollout, with training already underway on Gemini 4 adding timeline uncertainty. Key swing factors include any early-October developer conference updates, internal benchmark results, or sudden competitive pressure that could accelerate or further postpone the flagship Pro launch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在11月1日前不发布 30%
9 月 7 日–9 月 13 日 27%
9 月 28 日–10 月 4 日 25%
10月5日–10月11日 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
2026 年 8 月 31 日之前
24%
8月31日–9月6日
23%
9 月 7 日–9 月 13 日
27%
9月14日–9月20日
24%
9月21日–9月27日
22%
9 月 28 日–10 月 4 日
25%
10月5日–10月11日
25%
10 月 12 日–10 月 18 日
22%
10 月 19 日–10 月 25 日
21%
10 月 26 日–11 月 1 日
25%
在11月1日前不发布
30%
在11月1日前不发布 30%
9 月 7 日–9 月 13 日 27%
9 月 28 日–10 月 4 日 25%
10月5日–10月11日 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
2026 年 8 月 31 日之前
$0 交易量
24%
8月31日–9月6日
$0 交易量
23%
9 月 7 日–9 月 13 日
$0 交易量
27%
9月14日–9月20日
$0 交易量
24%
9月21日–9月27日
$0 交易量
22%
9 月 28 日–10 月 4 日
$0 交易量
25%
10月5日–10月11日
$0 交易量
25%
10 月 12 日–10 月 18 日
$0 交易量
22%
10 月 19 日–10 月 25 日
$0 交易量
21%
10 月 26 日–11 月 1 日
$0 交易量
25%
在11月1日前不发布
$55 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June and then July 2026, continue to drive the evenly matched Polymarket odds across late-August through early-November windows. The model remains in partner testing after extra tuning for reasoning and agentic performance to match rivals like OpenAI’s latest releases, while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants shipped in July. Traders see few firm signals on final certification or public rollout, with training already underway on Gemini 4 adding timeline uncertainty. Key swing factors include any early-October developer conference updates, internal benchmark results, or sudden competitive pressure that could accelerate or further postpone the flagship Pro launch.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
交易量
$55结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June and then July 2026, continue to drive the evenly matched Polymarket odds across late-August through early-November windows. The model remains in partner testing after extra tuning for reasoning and agentic performance to match rivals like OpenAI’s latest releases, while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants shipped in July. Traders see few firm signals on final certification or public rollout, with training already underway on Gemini 4 adding timeline uncertainty. Key swing factors include any early-October developer conference updates, internal benchmark results, or sudden competitive pressure that could accelerate or further postpone the flagship Pro launch.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$55结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June and then July 2026, continue to drive the evenly matched Polymarket odds across late-August through early-November windows. The model remains in partner testing after extra tuning for reasoning and agentic performance to match rivals like OpenAI’s latest releases, while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants shipped in July. Traders see few firm signals on final certification or public rollout, with training already underway on Gemini 4 adding timeline uncertainty. Key swing factors include any early-October developer conference updates, internal benchmark results, or sudden competitive pressure that could accelerate or further postpone the flagship Pro launch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题