Trader sentiment for the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of October remains highly uncertain, with a broad field of companies clustered near 50% implied probability and Google leading at 32.5%. This even distribution underscores the intense competition in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where labs differentiate through specialized large language model training on math datasets, chain-of-thought techniques, and third-party evaluations. Chinese players like Alibaba and Moonshot, along with OpenAI and others, sit in close contention due to rapid iteration cycles and platform dynamics that can quickly elevate or sideline contenders. No dominant recent release has shifted the consensus, leaving room for surprise model updates or benchmark gains before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于谷歌 33%
阿里巴巴 23%
OpenAI 16%
Z.ai 10%
$14,817 交易量
$14,817 交易量
2026-10-31
谷歌
33%
阿里巴巴
23%
OpenAI
16%
Z.ai
10%
Anthropic
8%
美团
6%
Nvidia
4%
Moonshot
10%
Mistral
6%
MiniMax
4%
百度
3%
Meta
3%
字节跳动
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
腾讯
1%
小米
1%
亚马逊
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
StepFun
<1%
微软
<1%
谷歌 33%
阿里巴巴 23%
OpenAI 16%
Z.ai 10%
$14,817 交易量
$14,817 交易量
2026-10-31
谷歌
$4,982 交易量
33%
阿里巴巴
$4,672 交易量
23%
OpenAI
$375 交易量
16%
Z.ai
$325 交易量
10%
Anthropic
$251 交易量
8%
美团
$631 交易量
6%
Nvidia
$304 交易量
4%
Moonshot
$306 交易量
10%
Mistral
$325 交易量
6%
MiniMax
$313 交易量
4%
百度
$266 交易量
3%
Meta
$240 交易量
3%
字节跳动
$314 交易量
2%
SpaceXAI
$231 交易量
1%
腾讯
$221 交易量
1%
小米
$236 交易量
1%
亚马逊
$236 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$221 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$184 交易量
<1%
微软
$184 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of October remains highly uncertain, with a broad field of companies clustered near 50% implied probability and Google leading at 32.5%. This even distribution underscores the intense competition in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where labs differentiate through specialized large language model training on math datasets, chain-of-thought techniques, and third-party evaluations. Chinese players like Alibaba and Moonshot, along with OpenAI and others, sit in close contention due to rapid iteration cycles and platform dynamics that can quickly elevate or sideline contenders. No dominant recent release has shifted the consensus, leaving room for surprise model updates or benchmark gains before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
交易量
$14,817结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of October remains highly uncertain, with a broad field of companies clustered near 50% implied probability and Google leading at 32.5%. This even distribution underscores the intense competition in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where labs differentiate through specialized large language model training on math datasets, chain-of-thought techniques, and third-party evaluations. Chinese players like Alibaba and Moonshot, along with OpenAI and others, sit in close contention due to rapid iteration cycles and platform dynamics that can quickly elevate or sideline contenders. No dominant recent release has shifted the consensus, leaving room for surprise model updates or benchmark gains before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$14,817结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of October remains highly uncertain, with a broad field of companies clustered near 50% implied probability and Google leading at 32.5%. This even distribution underscores the intense competition in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where labs differentiate through specialized large language model training on math datasets, chain-of-thought techniques, and third-party evaluations. Chinese players like Alibaba and Moonshot, along with OpenAI and others, sit in close contention due to rapid iteration cycles and platform dynamics that can quickly elevate or sideline contenders. No dominant recent release has shifted the consensus, leaving room for surprise model updates or benchmark gains before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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