Skip to main content

数学 预测与赔率

·
Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

90%

Anthropic

$416K 交易量

$71.1K today

$76.9K Liq.

Ends 大约 15 小时内

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

4%

Google

$10.9K 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

Ends 大约 15 小时内

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

47%

Anthropic

$1.1K 交易量

$7.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%

60%+

$29.9K 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

4

Ends 2 个月内

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

29%

50%+

$59.6K 交易量

$726 Liq.

12

Ends 2 个月内

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

62%

1520

$4.3K 交易量

$718 Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

94%

1525

$1.9K 交易量

$968 Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

16%

60%+

$131K 交易量

$781 Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%

25%+

$19.5K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

2

Ends 2 个月内

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

71%

$4.7K 交易量

$353 Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic

Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic

63%

Andrej Nedic

$60.3K 交易量

$60.3K today

$43.5K Liq.

Ends 7 天内

F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

42%

George Russell

$135M 交易量

$2M today

$12M Liq.

168

Ends 7 个月内

F1 Constructors' Champion

F1 Constructors' Champion

78%

Mercedes

$14M 交易量

$228K today

$1M Liq.

25

Ends 7 个月内

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

65%

Arsenal

$350K 交易量

$119K today

$149K Liq.

8

Ends 8 天内

MLS Cup Winner 2026

MLS Cup Winner 2026

16%

Inter Miami CF

$16M 交易量

$1M Liq.

6

Ends 8 个月内

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

94%

Reform

$93.8K 交易量

$89.6K Liq.

1

Ends 8 天内

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

62%

$242K 交易量

$29.9K Liq.

11

Ends 大约 1 个月内

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

98%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$2M 交易量

$152K Liq.

2

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Süper Lig Winner

Süper Lig Winner

99%

Galatasaray

$110K 交易量

$12.0K Liq.

21

Ends 25 天内

UEFA Champions League: Home country of champion

UEFA Champions League: Home country of champion

41%

Germany

$70.3K 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

1

Ends 大约 1 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 数学 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 182 个活跃的 数学 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $169.4M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"F1 Drivers' Champion",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"F1 Drivers' Champion",市场目前认为 George Russell 的概率为 42%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 数学 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。