Google’s delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship have shaped current trader sentiment, as the model teased at I/O 2026 for a June rollout slipped repeatedly after failing internal coding and performance benchmarks relative to the Flash series. The company instead accelerated iterative Flash releases, including 3.7 Flash in August and reports of a 3.8 Flash variant potentially launching this week to close gaps versus OpenAI and Anthropic on agentic coding. Meanwhile, Gemini 4 has completed pretraining with strong early results but requires extensive post-training, pointing to a late-2026 timeline. These factors support the market’s elevated probability of no Pro release by November 1, with any near-term catalysts likely limited to further Flash updates rather than a new Pro model.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,201,949 交易量
2026-09-15
September 15
5%
September 30
21%
October 31
69%
$1,201,949 交易量
September 15
$8,799 交易量
5%
September 30
$31,076 交易量
21%
October 31
$5,991 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship have shaped current trader sentiment, as the model teased at I/O 2026 for a June rollout slipped repeatedly after failing internal coding and performance benchmarks relative to the Flash series. The company instead accelerated iterative Flash releases, including 3.7 Flash in August and reports of a 3.8 Flash variant potentially launching this week to close gaps versus OpenAI and Anthropic on agentic coding. Meanwhile, Gemini 4 has completed pretraining with strong early results but requires extensive post-training, pointing to a late-2026 timeline. These factors support the market’s elevated probability of no Pro release by November 1, with any near-term catalysts likely limited to further Flash updates rather than a new Pro model.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
交易量
$1,201,949结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship have shaped current trader sentiment, as the model teased at I/O 2026 for a June rollout slipped repeatedly after failing internal coding and performance benchmarks relative to the Flash series. The company instead accelerated iterative Flash releases, including 3.7 Flash in August and reports of a 3.8 Flash variant potentially launching this week to close gaps versus OpenAI and Anthropic on agentic coding. Meanwhile, Gemini 4 has completed pretraining with strong early results but requires extensive post-training, pointing to a late-2026 timeline. These factors support the market’s elevated probability of no Pro release by November 1, with any near-term catalysts likely limited to further Flash updates rather than a new Pro model.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,201,949结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETGoogle’s delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship have shaped current trader sentiment, as the model teased at I/O 2026 for a June rollout slipped repeatedly after failing internal coding and performance benchmarks relative to the Flash series. The company instead accelerated iterative Flash releases, including 3.7 Flash in August and reports of a 3.8 Flash variant potentially launching this week to close gaps versus OpenAI and Anthropic on agentic coding. Meanwhile, Gemini 4 has completed pretraining with strong early results but requires extensive post-training, pointing to a late-2026 timeline. These factors support the market’s elevated probability of no Pro release by November 1, with any near-term catalysts likely limited to further Flash updates rather than a new Pro model.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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