Alibaba’s Qwen team released Qwen3.8-Flash on August 26, 2026, a multimodal MoE model (125B total parameters, 6B active) that activates only a fraction of its size per token while delivering strong gains in coding, agentic workflows, and office tasks at roughly one-ninth the training cost of Qwen3.7-Plus. The open-weight Qwen3.8-Flash-Next variant previews the hybrid Gated DeltaNet + Qwen Sparse Attention architecture planned for the Qwen4 family, supports a native 262K context window extensible to 1M tokens, and is already live or imminent on QwenCloud at competitive API pricing. This follows the July 2026 launch of Qwen3.7-Flash and positions Qwen against DeepSeek-V4-Flash and GLM-5.3-Flash on efficiency benchmarks, with traders watching for the next 3.9+ iteration amid rapid monthly cadence and upcoming Qwen4 scaling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-10-31
10 月 31 日
52%
12 月 31 日
53%
$0.00 交易量
10 月 31 日
$0 交易量
52%
12 月 31 日
$0 交易量
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Alibaba’s Qwen team released Qwen3.8-Flash on August 26, 2026, a multimodal MoE model (125B total parameters, 6B active) that activates only a fraction of its size per token while delivering strong gains in coding, agentic workflows, and office tasks at roughly one-ninth the training cost of Qwen3.7-Plus. The open-weight Qwen3.8-Flash-Next variant previews the hybrid Gated DeltaNet + Qwen Sparse Attention architecture planned for the Qwen4 family, supports a native 262K context window extensible to 1M tokens, and is already live or imminent on QwenCloud at competitive API pricing. This follows the July 2026 launch of Qwen3.7-Flash and positions Qwen against DeepSeek-V4-Flash and GLM-5.3-Flash on efficiency benchmarks, with traders watching for the next 3.9+ iteration amid rapid monthly cadence and upcoming Qwen4 scaling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 7:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Alibaba’s Qwen team released Qwen3.8-Flash on August 26, 2026, a multimodal MoE model (125B total parameters, 6B active) that activates only a fraction of its size per token while delivering strong gains in coding, agentic workflows, and office tasks at roughly one-ninth the training cost of Qwen3.7-Plus. The open-weight Qwen3.8-Flash-Next variant previews the hybrid Gated DeltaNet + Qwen Sparse Attention architecture planned for the Qwen4 family, supports a native 262K context window extensible to 1M tokens, and is already live or imminent on QwenCloud at competitive API pricing. This follows the July 2026 launch of Qwen3.7-Flash and positions Qwen against DeepSeek-V4-Flash and GLM-5.3-Flash on efficiency benchmarks, with traders watching for the next 3.9+ iteration amid rapid monthly cadence and upcoming Qwen4 scaling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 7:25 PM ETAlibaba’s Qwen team released Qwen3.8-Flash on August 26, 2026, a multimodal MoE model (125B total parameters, 6B active) that activates only a fraction of its size per token while delivering strong gains in coding, agentic workflows, and office tasks at roughly one-ninth the training cost of Qwen3.7-Plus. The open-weight Qwen3.8-Flash-Next variant previews the hybrid Gated DeltaNet + Qwen Sparse Attention architecture planned for the Qwen4 family, supports a native 262K context window extensible to 1M tokens, and is already live or imminent on QwenCloud at competitive API pricing. This follows the July 2026 launch of Qwen3.7-Flash and positions Qwen against DeepSeek-V4-Flash and GLM-5.3-Flash on efficiency benchmarks, with traders watching for the next 3.9+ iteration amid rapid monthly cadence and upcoming Qwen4 scaling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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