Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 family drives current trader focus on the next Opus release. The company launched Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance on coding and agentic benchmarks at half the token cost while emphasizing safety and efficiency for enterprise use. Subsequent early-September releases of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus ongoing updates to agent tools and reporting features, signal continued momentum. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and others, combined with Anthropic’s typical upgrade cycle of several months between flagship Opus versions, shapes expectations. Prediction markets currently cluster around a late-September window, with traders watching for official announcements or API changes that could accelerate or delay the next model.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$105,632 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
77%
10月31日
99%
12月31日
98%
$105,632 交易量
9月30日
$45,705 交易量
77%
10月31日
$13,267 交易量
99%
12月31日
$5,146 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 family drives current trader focus on the next Opus release. The company launched Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance on coding and agentic benchmarks at half the token cost while emphasizing safety and efficiency for enterprise use. Subsequent early-September releases of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus ongoing updates to agent tools and reporting features, signal continued momentum. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and others, combined with Anthropic’s typical upgrade cycle of several months between flagship Opus versions, shapes expectations. Prediction markets currently cluster around a late-September window, with traders watching for official announcements or API changes that could accelerate or delay the next model.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
交易量
$105,632结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 family drives current trader focus on the next Opus release. The company launched Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance on coding and agentic benchmarks at half the token cost while emphasizing safety and efficiency for enterprise use. Subsequent early-September releases of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus ongoing updates to agent tools and reporting features, signal continued momentum. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and others, combined with Anthropic’s typical upgrade cycle of several months between flagship Opus versions, shapes expectations. Prediction markets currently cluster around a late-September window, with traders watching for official announcements or API changes that could accelerate or delay the next model.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$105,632结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAnthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 family drives current trader focus on the next Opus release. The company launched Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance on coding and agentic benchmarks at half the token cost while emphasizing safety and efficiency for enterprise use. Subsequent early-September releases of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus ongoing updates to agent tools and reporting features, signal continued momentum. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and others, combined with Anthropic’s typical upgrade cycle of several months between flagship Opus versions, shapes expectations. Prediction markets currently cluster around a late-September window, with traders watching for official announcements or API changes that could accelerate or delay the next model.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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