OpenAI’s September 8 release of an analytical proof and Lean formalization for a finite-time singularity in the forced 3D Navier-Stokes equations has anchored 92.5% market-implied odds against retraction by year-end. The machine-verifiable formalization, produced by an internal multi-agent system exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, allows rapid independent checks via the public repository, with no mathematical flaws identified in initial reviews. Trader consensus reflects that scrutiny has centered on research conduct and credit disputes with external mathematicians rather than proof validity. A realistic reversal scenario would require credible experts uncovering a substantive error during ongoing verification, though the Lean component and OpenAI’s explicit stance reduce that likelihood in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
8% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
8% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8 release of an analytical proof and Lean formalization for a finite-time singularity in the forced 3D Navier-Stokes equations has anchored 92.5% market-implied odds against retraction by year-end. The machine-verifiable formalization, produced by an internal multi-agent system exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, allows rapid independent checks via the public repository, with no mathematical flaws identified in initial reviews. Trader consensus reflects that scrutiny has centered on research conduct and credit disputes with external mathematicians rather than proof validity. A realistic reversal scenario would require credible experts uncovering a substantive error during ongoing verification, though the Lean component and OpenAI’s explicit stance reduce that likelihood in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$112结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8 release of an analytical proof and Lean formalization for a finite-time singularity in the forced 3D Navier-Stokes equations has anchored 92.5% market-implied odds against retraction by year-end. The machine-verifiable formalization, produced by an internal multi-agent system exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, allows rapid independent checks via the public repository, with no mathematical flaws identified in initial reviews. Trader consensus reflects that scrutiny has centered on research conduct and credit disputes with external mathematicians rather than proof validity. A realistic reversal scenario would require credible experts uncovering a substantive error during ongoing verification, though the Lean component and OpenAI’s explicit stance reduce that likelihood in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$112结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ETOpenAI’s September 8 release of an analytical proof and Lean formalization for a finite-time singularity in the forced 3D Navier-Stokes equations has anchored 92.5% market-implied odds against retraction by year-end. The machine-verifiable formalization, produced by an internal multi-agent system exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, allows rapid independent checks via the public repository, with no mathematical flaws identified in initial reviews. Trader consensus reflects that scrutiny has centered on research conduct and credit disputes with external mathematicians rather than proof validity. A realistic reversal scenario would require credible experts uncovering a substantive error during ongoing verification, though the Lean component and OpenAI’s explicit stance reduce that likelihood in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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