OpenAI’s determination that its new GPT-6 Astra large language model meets the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under its Preparedness Framework has shaped trader views on potential public-access restrictions. The model can autonomously discover and exploit vulnerabilities across hardened systems, prompting OpenAI to limit its most advanced cyber tools at launch on September 3 to a small tester group via the Daybreak Blue program, with broader defensive access planned later. A staggered rollout to Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users triggered complaints and an apology from Sam Altman, while surging demand led to a temporary halt on new $200 Pro subscriptions by September 10. Upcoming catalysts include expanded Daybreak access decisions, any model-card updates on safeguards, and infrastructure scaling that could either stabilize or further constrain availability amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
9月30日
5%
10月31日
42%
$36 交易量
9月30日
$36 交易量
5%
10月31日
$0 交易量
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s determination that its new GPT-6 Astra large language model meets the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under its Preparedness Framework has shaped trader views on potential public-access restrictions. The model can autonomously discover and exploit vulnerabilities across hardened systems, prompting OpenAI to limit its most advanced cyber tools at launch on September 3 to a small tester group via the Daybreak Blue program, with broader defensive access planned later. A staggered rollout to Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users triggered complaints and an apology from Sam Altman, while surging demand led to a temporary halt on new $200 Pro subscriptions by September 10. Upcoming catalysts include expanded Daybreak access decisions, any model-card updates on safeguards, and infrastructure scaling that could either stabilize or further constrain availability amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
交易量
$36结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s determination that its new GPT-6 Astra large language model meets the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under its Preparedness Framework has shaped trader views on potential public-access restrictions. The model can autonomously discover and exploit vulnerabilities across hardened systems, prompting OpenAI to limit its most advanced cyber tools at launch on September 3 to a small tester group via the Daybreak Blue program, with broader defensive access planned later. A staggered rollout to Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users triggered complaints and an apology from Sam Altman, while surging demand led to a temporary halt on new $200 Pro subscriptions by September 10. Upcoming catalysts include expanded Daybreak access decisions, any model-card updates on safeguards, and infrastructure scaling that could either stabilize or further constrain availability amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$36结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETOpenAI’s determination that its new GPT-6 Astra large language model meets the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under its Preparedness Framework has shaped trader views on potential public-access restrictions. The model can autonomously discover and exploit vulnerabilities across hardened systems, prompting OpenAI to limit its most advanced cyber tools at launch on September 3 to a small tester group via the Daybreak Blue program, with broader defensive access planned later. A staggered rollout to Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users triggered complaints and an apology from Sam Altman, while surging demand led to a temporary halt on new $200 Pro subscriptions by September 10. Upcoming catalysts include expanded Daybreak access decisions, any model-card updates on safeguards, and infrastructure scaling that could either stabilize or further constrain availability amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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