Anthropic’s staggered release cadence keeps the Haiku tier trailing flagship updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering nearly eleven months after its October 2025 launch while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient, low-latency inference for high-volume and agentic workloads, where Haiku competes directly with lighter models from OpenAI and Google. No official Haiku successor has been confirmed, yet prediction-market deadlines cluster around late October 2026, implying traders expect an announcement or release window tied to the next efficiency or benchmark push. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-conference remarks, API pricing changes, or competitive small-model launches that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-10-15
10月15日
27%
10月31日
61%
12月31日
54%
$9,539 交易量
10月15日
$241 交易量
27%
10月31日
$987 交易量
61%
12月31日
$4,559 交易量
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s staggered release cadence keeps the Haiku tier trailing flagship updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering nearly eleven months after its October 2025 launch while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient, low-latency inference for high-volume and agentic workloads, where Haiku competes directly with lighter models from OpenAI and Google. No official Haiku successor has been confirmed, yet prediction-market deadlines cluster around late October 2026, implying traders expect an announcement or release window tied to the next efficiency or benchmark push. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-conference remarks, API pricing changes, or competitive small-model launches that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
交易量
$9,539结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s staggered release cadence keeps the Haiku tier trailing flagship updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering nearly eleven months after its October 2025 launch while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient, low-latency inference for high-volume and agentic workloads, where Haiku competes directly with lighter models from OpenAI and Google. No official Haiku successor has been confirmed, yet prediction-market deadlines cluster around late October 2026, implying traders expect an announcement or release window tied to the next efficiency or benchmark push. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-conference remarks, API pricing changes, or competitive small-model launches that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$9,539结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETAnthropic’s staggered release cadence keeps the Haiku tier trailing flagship updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering nearly eleven months after its October 2025 launch while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient, low-latency inference for high-volume and agentic workloads, where Haiku competes directly with lighter models from OpenAI and Google. No official Haiku successor has been confirmed, yet prediction-market deadlines cluster around late October 2026, implying traders expect an announcement or release window tied to the next efficiency or benchmark push. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-conference remarks, API pricing changes, or competitive small-model launches that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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