Anthropic’s consistent release cadence drives current trader sentiment on the next Claude Sonnet, following the June 30, 2026 launch of Sonnet 5 as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, with gains in tool use, coding, and adaptive reasoning over Sonnet 4.6. This came roughly four months after the February 4.6 update and aligned with Opus 5’s July arrival, reflecting Anthropic’s pattern of major Sonnet iterations every 3–5 months amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Traders watch for API deprecations, internal benchmarks, and developer conference signals that could accelerate or delay the next version, while noting that product timelines often shift due to safety testing or competitive positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-31
8月31日
30%
10月31日
74%
12月31日
83%
$3,147 交易量
8月31日
$216 交易量
30%
10月31日
$96 交易量
74%
12月31日
$2,835 交易量
83%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s consistent release cadence drives current trader sentiment on the next Claude Sonnet, following the June 30, 2026 launch of Sonnet 5 as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, with gains in tool use, coding, and adaptive reasoning over Sonnet 4.6. This came roughly four months after the February 4.6 update and aligned with Opus 5’s July arrival, reflecting Anthropic’s pattern of major Sonnet iterations every 3–5 months amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Traders watch for API deprecations, internal benchmarks, and developer conference signals that could accelerate or delay the next version, while noting that product timelines often shift due to safety testing or competitive positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
交易量
$3,147结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s consistent release cadence drives current trader sentiment on the next Claude Sonnet, following the June 30, 2026 launch of Sonnet 5 as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, with gains in tool use, coding, and adaptive reasoning over Sonnet 4.6. This came roughly four months after the February 4.6 update and aligned with Opus 5’s July arrival, reflecting Anthropic’s pattern of major Sonnet iterations every 3–5 months amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Traders watch for API deprecations, internal benchmarks, and developer conference signals that could accelerate or delay the next version, while noting that product timelines often shift due to safety testing or competitive positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$3,147结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s consistent release cadence drives current trader sentiment on the next Claude Sonnet, following the June 30, 2026 launch of Sonnet 5 as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, with gains in tool use, coding, and adaptive reasoning over Sonnet 4.6. This came roughly four months after the February 4.6 update and aligned with Opus 5’s July arrival, reflecting Anthropic’s pattern of major Sonnet iterations every 3–5 months amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Traders watch for API deprecations, internal benchmarks, and developer conference signals that could accelerate or delay the next version, while noting that product timelines often shift due to safety testing or competitive positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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