Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release clusters tightly around mid-to-late September 2026, driven primarily by recent social media leaks and routing tests suggesting an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 5 launched July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May—combined with the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1 has heightened expectations for rapid follow-on capability gains in reasoning and agentic tasks. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed timeline amid competitive pressure from other frontier large language models, yet the absence of official benchmarks, model cards, or announcements leaves room for slippage. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer updates or API changes that could confirm or delay the drop, underscoring how unverified signals currently shape trader consensus in this fast-moving AI release cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日 26%
9月21日 19%
9月24日 19%
9月17日 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
在2026年9月16日或之前
4%
9月17日
18%
9月18日
14%
9月19日
1%
9月20日
26%
9月21日
19%
9月22日
9%
9月23日
9%
9月24日
19%
9月25日
10%
9月26日
6%
9月27日
6%
9月28日
12%
9月29日
10%
9月30日
9%
截至9月30日未发布
15%
9月20日 26%
9月21日 19%
9月24日 19%
9月17日 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
在2026年9月16日或之前
$68 交易量
4%
9月17日
$397 交易量
18%
9月18日
$0 交易量
14%
9月19日
$447 交易量
1%
9月20日
$447 交易量
26%
9月21日
$0 交易量
19%
9月22日
$0 交易量
9%
9月23日
$0 交易量
9%
9月24日
$0 交易量
19%
9月25日
$0 交易量
10%
9月26日
$447 交易量
6%
9月27日
$447 交易量
6%
9月28日
$0 交易量
12%
9月29日
$0 交易量
10%
9月30日
$0 交易量
9%
截至9月30日未发布
$0 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release clusters tightly around mid-to-late September 2026, driven primarily by recent social media leaks and routing tests suggesting an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 5 launched July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May—combined with the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1 has heightened expectations for rapid follow-on capability gains in reasoning and agentic tasks. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed timeline amid competitive pressure from other frontier large language models, yet the absence of official benchmarks, model cards, or announcements leaves room for slippage. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer updates or API changes that could confirm or delay the drop, underscoring how unverified signals currently shape trader consensus in this fast-moving AI release cycle.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
交易量
$402结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release clusters tightly around mid-to-late September 2026, driven primarily by recent social media leaks and routing tests suggesting an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 5 launched July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May—combined with the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1 has heightened expectations for rapid follow-on capability gains in reasoning and agentic tasks. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed timeline amid competitive pressure from other frontier large language models, yet the absence of official benchmarks, model cards, or announcements leaves room for slippage. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer updates or API changes that could confirm or delay the drop, underscoring how unverified signals currently shape trader consensus in this fast-moving AI release cycle.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$402结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETTrader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release clusters tightly around mid-to-late September 2026, driven primarily by recent social media leaks and routing tests suggesting an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 5 launched July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May—combined with the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1 has heightened expectations for rapid follow-on capability gains in reasoning and agentic tasks. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed timeline amid competitive pressure from other frontier large language models, yet the absence of official benchmarks, model cards, or announcements leaves room for slippage. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer updates or API changes that could confirm or delay the drop, underscoring how unverified signals currently shape trader consensus in this fast-moving AI release cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题