Sam Altman’s continued refusal to personally sign the July 2026 “Pacing the Frontier” employee statement drives the 84.5% “No” odds, even as he publicly endorsed the broader concept of pacing frontier AI development. The original letter, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic and peers, requests U.S.-led international tools for coordinated slowdowns if automated research accelerates uncontrollably; Altman has praised the idea in podcasts and recent statements but has not added his name despite OpenAI’s corporate endorsement and his own September commitments to embedded evaluators. With the September 30 deadline just weeks away and no fresh indication he plans to sign the specific document, traders see little catalyst for reversal before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
16% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
是
16% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s continued refusal to personally sign the July 2026 “Pacing the Frontier” employee statement drives the 84.5% “No” odds, even as he publicly endorsed the broader concept of pacing frontier AI development. The original letter, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic and peers, requests U.S.-led international tools for coordinated slowdowns if automated research accelerates uncontrollably; Altman has praised the idea in podcasts and recent statements but has not added his name despite OpenAI’s corporate endorsement and his own September commitments to embedded evaluators. With the September 30 deadline just weeks away and no fresh indication he plans to sign the specific document, traders see little catalyst for reversal before resolution.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
交易量
$2,920结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETIn July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s continued refusal to personally sign the July 2026 “Pacing the Frontier” employee statement drives the 84.5% “No” odds, even as he publicly endorsed the broader concept of pacing frontier AI development. The original letter, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic and peers, requests U.S.-led international tools for coordinated slowdowns if automated research accelerates uncontrollably; Altman has praised the idea in podcasts and recent statements but has not added his name despite OpenAI’s corporate endorsement and his own September commitments to embedded evaluators. With the September 30 deadline just weeks away and no fresh indication he plans to sign the specific document, traders see little catalyst for reversal before resolution.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,920结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETSam Altman’s continued refusal to personally sign the July 2026 “Pacing the Frontier” employee statement drives the 84.5% “No” odds, even as he publicly endorsed the broader concept of pacing frontier AI development. The original letter, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic and peers, requests U.S.-led international tools for coordinated slowdowns if automated research accelerates uncontrollably; Altman has praised the idea in podcasts and recent statements but has not added his name despite OpenAI’s corporate endorsement and his own September commitments to embedded evaluators. With the September 30 deadline just weeks away and no fresh indication he plans to sign the specific document, traders see little catalyst for reversal before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题