Recent OpenAI GPT-6 Astra releases in early September 2026 secured the top Code Arena WebDev spot, creating a tight race for second place through November as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 trail by narrow margins on the community-voted leaderboard. Trader sentiment reflects this proximity, with multiple labs clustered due to rapid iteration in agentic coding, full-stack features like database integration and deployments, and category-specific strengths in simulations or dashboards. Chinese models from Alibaba, Moonshot, and Z.ai offer competitive cost-performance, while xAI, Meta, and others lag in current rankings but could close gaps via updates. Volatility in crowdsourced Elo scores and ongoing fullstack expansions keep outcomes uncertain ahead of the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 36%
Z.ai 26%
Meta 25%
MiniMax 25%

Anthropic
36%

Z.ai
26%

Meta
25%

MiniMax
25%

OpenAI
23%

谷歌
20%

SpaceXAI
14%

Thinky
14%

Poolside
12%

阿里巴巴
26%

小米
8%

Moonshot
7%

Mistral
26%

字节跳动
3%

DeepSeek
3%

腾讯
3%
Anthropic 36%
Z.ai 26%
Meta 25%
MiniMax 25%

Anthropic
36%

Z.ai
26%

Meta
25%

MiniMax
25%

OpenAI
23%

谷歌
20%

SpaceXAI
14%

Thinky
14%

Poolside
12%

阿里巴巴
26%

小米
8%

Moonshot
7%

Mistral
26%

字节跳动
3%

DeepSeek
3%

腾讯
3%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Recent OpenAI GPT-6 Astra releases in early September 2026 secured the top Code Arena WebDev spot, creating a tight race for second place through November as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 trail by narrow margins on the community-voted leaderboard. Trader sentiment reflects this proximity, with multiple labs clustered due to rapid iteration in agentic coding, full-stack features like database integration and deployments, and category-specific strengths in simulations or dashboards. Chinese models from Alibaba, Moonshot, and Z.ai offer competitive cost-performance, while xAI, Meta, and others lag in current rankings but could close gaps via updates. Volatility in crowdsourced Elo scores and ongoing fullstack expansions keep outcomes uncertain ahead of the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题