Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November shows a tight race, with OpenAI and the broad "Other" category both at 50% implied probability amid widespread uncertainty. This reflects comparable advances in agentic capabilities—such as autonomous task handling, tool integration, and multi-step reasoning—across major labs, preventing any clear frontrunner. Anthropic, Meta, Mistral, DeepSeek, and others trail at lower odds due to differences in recent model releases, benchmark performance, and platform ecosystems. Key swing factors include upcoming capability demonstrations, developer updates, and competitive positioning in the fast-evolving artificial intelligence space, where timelines and feature parity can shift quickly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于OpenAI 50%
Anthropic 18%
Moonshot 9%
谷歌 7.1%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
OpenAI
50%
Anthropic
16%
Moonshot
9%
谷歌
7%
Z.ai
4%
Meta
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
阿里巴巴
4%
DeepSeek
4%
亚马逊
4%
Mistral
4%
微软
4%
小米
3%
字节跳动
3%
美团
3%
Nvidia
3%
百度
1%
MiniMax
1%
腾讯
1%
OpenAI 50%
Anthropic 18%
Moonshot 9%
谷歌 7.1%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
OpenAI
$297 交易量
50%
Anthropic
$533 交易量
16%
Moonshot
$462 交易量
9%
谷歌
$454 交易量
7%
Z.ai
$146 交易量
4%
Meta
$158 交易量
4%
SpaceXAI
$191 交易量
4%
阿里巴巴
$146 交易量
4%
DeepSeek
$146 交易量
4%
亚马逊
$160 交易量
4%
Mistral
$146 交易量
4%
微软
$146 交易量
4%
小米
$136 交易量
3%
字节跳动
$146 交易量
3%
美团
$166 交易量
3%
Nvidia
$262 交易量
3%
百度
$364 交易量
1%
MiniMax
$453 交易量
1%
腾讯
$146 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November shows a tight race, with OpenAI and the broad "Other" category both at 50% implied probability amid widespread uncertainty. This reflects comparable advances in agentic capabilities—such as autonomous task handling, tool integration, and multi-step reasoning—across major labs, preventing any clear frontrunner. Anthropic, Meta, Mistral, DeepSeek, and others trail at lower odds due to differences in recent model releases, benchmark performance, and platform ecosystems. Key swing factors include upcoming capability demonstrations, developer updates, and competitive positioning in the fast-evolving artificial intelligence space, where timelines and feature parity can shift quickly.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$4,653结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November shows a tight race, with OpenAI and the broad "Other" category both at 50% implied probability amid widespread uncertainty. This reflects comparable advances in agentic capabilities—such as autonomous task handling, tool integration, and multi-step reasoning—across major labs, preventing any clear frontrunner. Anthropic, Meta, Mistral, DeepSeek, and others trail at lower odds due to differences in recent model releases, benchmark performance, and platform ecosystems. Key swing factors include upcoming capability demonstrations, developer updates, and competitive positioning in the fast-evolving artificial intelligence space, where timelines and feature parity can shift quickly.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$4,653结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETTrader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November shows a tight race, with OpenAI and the broad "Other" category both at 50% implied probability amid widespread uncertainty. This reflects comparable advances in agentic capabilities—such as autonomous task handling, tool integration, and multi-step reasoning—across major labs, preventing any clear frontrunner. Anthropic, Meta, Mistral, DeepSeek, and others trail at lower odds due to differences in recent model releases, benchmark performance, and platform ecosystems. Key swing factors include upcoming capability demonstrations, developer updates, and competitive positioning in the fast-evolving artificial intelligence space, where timelines and feature parity can shift quickly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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