Traders view the race for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end of October as wide open, with multiple labs clustered near 43-50% implied probability due to rapid iteration in coding-focused large language models. OpenAI and SpaceXAI hold slight edges at 44%, trailed closely by Z.ai, DeepSeek, and others, reflecting how performance on web development benchmarks, framework integration, and real-world developer adoption can shift quickly. Differentiating factors include recent model releases emphasizing code generation accuracy, context handling for complex web apps, and safety features, alongside competition from Anthropic, Meta, Google, and specialized players like Poolside. New benchmark results or capability demos in the coming weeks remain key swing factors in this fragmented field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于SpaceXAI 47%
OpenAI 45%
Meta 45%
字节跳动 45%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
SpaceXAI
47%
OpenAI
45%
Meta
45%
字节跳动
45%
Z.ai
44%
小米
44%
Thinky
44%
腾讯
44%
Poolside
44%
MiniMax
43%
DeepSeek
43%
Anthropic
43%
阿里巴巴
43%
Mistral
43%
41%
Moonshot
39%
SpaceXAI 47%
OpenAI 45%
Meta 45%
字节跳动 45%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
SpaceXAI
$0 交易量
47%
OpenAI
$0 交易量
45%
Meta
$0 交易量
45%
字节跳动
$0 交易量
45%
Z.ai
$0 交易量
44%
小米
$0 交易量
44%
Thinky
$0 交易量
44%
腾讯
$0 交易量
44%
Poolside
$0 交易量
44%
MiniMax
$0 交易量
43%
DeepSeek
$0 交易量
43%
Anthropic
$0 交易量
43%
阿里巴巴
$0 交易量
43%
Mistral
$0 交易量
43%
$0 交易量
41%
Moonshot
$0 交易量
39%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the race for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end of October as wide open, with multiple labs clustered near 43-50% implied probability due to rapid iteration in coding-focused large language models. OpenAI and SpaceXAI hold slight edges at 44%, trailed closely by Z.ai, DeepSeek, and others, reflecting how performance on web development benchmarks, framework integration, and real-world developer adoption can shift quickly. Differentiating factors include recent model releases emphasizing code generation accuracy, context handling for complex web apps, and safety features, alongside competition from Anthropic, Meta, Google, and specialized players like Poolside. New benchmark results or capability demos in the coming weeks remain key swing factors in this fragmented field.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the race for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end of October as wide open, with multiple labs clustered near 43-50% implied probability due to rapid iteration in coding-focused large language models. OpenAI and SpaceXAI hold slight edges at 44%, trailed closely by Z.ai, DeepSeek, and others, reflecting how performance on web development benchmarks, framework integration, and real-world developer adoption can shift quickly. Differentiating factors include recent model releases emphasizing code generation accuracy, context handling for complex web apps, and safety features, alongside competition from Anthropic, Meta, Google, and specialized players like Poolside. New benchmark results or capability demos in the coming weeks remain key swing factors in this fragmented field.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the race for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end of October as wide open, with multiple labs clustered near 43-50% implied probability due to rapid iteration in coding-focused large language models. OpenAI and SpaceXAI hold slight edges at 44%, trailed closely by Z.ai, DeepSeek, and others, reflecting how performance on web development benchmarks, framework integration, and real-world developer adoption can shift quickly. Differentiating factors include recent model releases emphasizing code generation accuracy, context handling for complex web apps, and safety features, alongside competition from Anthropic, Meta, Google, and specialized players like Poolside. New benchmark results or capability demos in the coming weeks remain key swing factors in this fragmented field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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