Databricks’ recent private funding rounds at $188–190 billion valuations, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth and adjusted cash-flow positivity, anchor trader sentiment for its eventual IPO closing market cap. CEO comments deferring a 2026 listing amid competing offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic have reinforced expectations for a 2027 debut, while the company’s expanding AI governance and agent products differentiate it from peers like Snowflake. With implied probabilities clustered near 48% across $200–300 billion buckets and only 21.5% on no IPO by end-2027, markets reflect uncertainty over public multiples at 30x-plus revenue and broader equity conditions rather than any near-term resolution catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2500亿-3000亿美元 98%
3000亿-3500亿美元 96%
2000亿-2500亿美元 95%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元 95%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
-
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元
-
2000亿-2500亿美元
95%
2500亿-3000亿美元
98%
3000亿-3500亿美元
96%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元
95%
4000亿美元-4500亿美元
-
4500亿以上
-
2027年12月31日前未上市
22%
2500亿-3000亿美元 98%
3000亿-3500亿美元 96%
2000亿-2500亿美元 95%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元 95%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
$18 交易量
-
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元
$18 交易量
-
2000亿-2500亿美元
$18 交易量
95%
2500亿-3000亿美元
$18 交易量
98%
3000亿-3500亿美元
$18 交易量
96%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元
$18 交易量
95%
4000亿美元-4500亿美元
$18 交易量
-
4500亿以上
$18 交易量
-
2027年12月31日前未上市
$272 交易量
22%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ recent private funding rounds at $188–190 billion valuations, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth and adjusted cash-flow positivity, anchor trader sentiment for its eventual IPO closing market cap. CEO comments deferring a 2026 listing amid competing offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic have reinforced expectations for a 2027 debut, while the company’s expanding AI governance and agent products differentiate it from peers like Snowflake. With implied probabilities clustered near 48% across $200–300 billion buckets and only 21.5% on no IPO by end-2027, markets reflect uncertainty over public multiples at 30x-plus revenue and broader equity conditions rather than any near-term resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
交易量
$416结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ recent private funding rounds at $188–190 billion valuations, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth and adjusted cash-flow positivity, anchor trader sentiment for its eventual IPO closing market cap. CEO comments deferring a 2026 listing amid competing offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic have reinforced expectations for a 2027 debut, while the company’s expanding AI governance and agent products differentiate it from peers like Snowflake. With implied probabilities clustered near 48% across $200–300 billion buckets and only 21.5% on no IPO by end-2027, markets reflect uncertainty over public multiples at 30x-plus revenue and broader equity conditions rather than any near-term resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$416结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETDatabricks’ recent private funding rounds at $188–190 billion valuations, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth and adjusted cash-flow positivity, anchor trader sentiment for its eventual IPO closing market cap. CEO comments deferring a 2026 listing amid competing offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic have reinforced expectations for a 2027 debut, while the company’s expanding AI governance and agent products differentiate it from peers like Snowflake. With implied probabilities clustered near 48% across $200–300 billion buckets and only 21.5% on no IPO by end-2027, markets reflect uncertainty over public multiples at 30x-plus revenue and broader equity conditions rather than any near-term resolution catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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