Databricks' private-market momentum, including a July 2026 funding round at a $188 billion valuation led by Coatue and annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth, underpins the evenly matched 47.5% probabilities across IPO closing market-cap bands from under $150 billion to over $450 billion. Traders price in continued AI-driven demand for its Lakehouse platform and positive free cash flow as key supports for a debut valuation potentially well above the latest private mark, yet the 22.5% odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect CEO comments labeling 2026 a poor window amid competing offerings and the absence of an S-1 filing as of late August. Competitive differentiation versus peers like Snowflake centers on faster growth and enterprise adoption, though execution on margins and any regulatory or macro shifts in equity markets remain swing factors for resolution timing and final pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2500亿-3000亿美元 97%
2000亿-2500亿美元 96%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元 95%
3000亿-3500亿美元 93%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
-
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元
-
2000亿-2500亿美元
96%
2500亿-3000亿美元
97%
3000亿-3500亿美元
93%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元
95%
4000亿美元-4500亿美元
-
4500亿以上
-
2027年12月31日前未上市
23%
2500亿-3000亿美元 97%
2000亿-2500亿美元 96%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元 95%
3000亿-3500亿美元 93%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
$18 交易量
-
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元
$18 交易量
-
2000亿-2500亿美元
$18 交易量
96%
2500亿-3000亿美元
$18 交易量
97%
3000亿-3500亿美元
$18 交易量
93%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元
$18 交易量
95%
4000亿美元-4500亿美元
$18 交易量
-
4500亿以上
$18 交易量
-
2027年12月31日前未上市
$272 交易量
23%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' private-market momentum, including a July 2026 funding round at a $188 billion valuation led by Coatue and annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth, underpins the evenly matched 47.5% probabilities across IPO closing market-cap bands from under $150 billion to over $450 billion. Traders price in continued AI-driven demand for its Lakehouse platform and positive free cash flow as key supports for a debut valuation potentially well above the latest private mark, yet the 22.5% odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect CEO comments labeling 2026 a poor window amid competing offerings and the absence of an S-1 filing as of late August. Competitive differentiation versus peers like Snowflake centers on faster growth and enterprise adoption, though execution on margins and any regulatory or macro shifts in equity markets remain swing factors for resolution timing and final pricing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
交易量
$416结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' private-market momentum, including a July 2026 funding round at a $188 billion valuation led by Coatue and annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth, underpins the evenly matched 47.5% probabilities across IPO closing market-cap bands from under $150 billion to over $450 billion. Traders price in continued AI-driven demand for its Lakehouse platform and positive free cash flow as key supports for a debut valuation potentially well above the latest private mark, yet the 22.5% odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect CEO comments labeling 2026 a poor window amid competing offerings and the absence of an S-1 filing as of late August. Competitive differentiation versus peers like Snowflake centers on faster growth and enterprise adoption, though execution on margins and any regulatory or macro shifts in equity markets remain swing factors for resolution timing and final pricing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$416结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETDatabricks' private-market momentum, including a July 2026 funding round at a $188 billion valuation led by Coatue and annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth, underpins the evenly matched 47.5% probabilities across IPO closing market-cap bands from under $150 billion to over $450 billion. Traders price in continued AI-driven demand for its Lakehouse platform and positive free cash flow as key supports for a debut valuation potentially well above the latest private mark, yet the 22.5% odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect CEO comments labeling 2026 a poor window amid competing offerings and the absence of an S-1 filing as of late August. Competitive differentiation versus peers like Snowflake centers on faster growth and enterprise adoption, though execution on margins and any regulatory or macro shifts in equity markets remain swing factors for resolution timing and final pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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