Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.79% in early September 2026 reflect persistent inflation concerns and hawkish Federal Reserve signals amid Middle East-driven oil price spikes above $90 per barrel. July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while PCE held near 3.7%, keeping price stability in focus as the Fed maintained its 3.50–3.75% funds rate target in July with three dissents favoring a hike. Recent weak ADP private payrolls data and mixed Fed commentary have tempered immediate rate-hike odds ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and August CPI release on September 11. Fiscal deficit worries and global bond yield rises further support higher yields, though softer labor or inflation prints could ease pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
低于4.76%
50%
低于4.73%
50%
低于4.70%
50%
低于4.67%
50%
低于4.64%
50%
低于4.61%
50%
低于4.56%
50%
低于4.51%
50%
低于4.45%
50%
$0.00 交易量
低于4.76%
$0 交易量
50%
低于4.73%
$0 交易量
50%
低于4.70%
$0 交易量
50%
低于4.67%
$0 交易量
50%
低于4.64%
$0 交易量
50%
低于4.61%
$0 交易量
50%
低于4.56%
$0 交易量
50%
低于4.51%
$0 交易量
50%
低于4.45%
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.79% in early September 2026 reflect persistent inflation concerns and hawkish Federal Reserve signals amid Middle East-driven oil price spikes above $90 per barrel. July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while PCE held near 3.7%, keeping price stability in focus as the Fed maintained its 3.50–3.75% funds rate target in July with three dissents favoring a hike. Recent weak ADP private payrolls data and mixed Fed commentary have tempered immediate rate-hike odds ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and August CPI release on September 11. Fiscal deficit worries and global bond yield rises further support higher yields, though softer labor or inflation prints could ease pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.79% in early September 2026 reflect persistent inflation concerns and hawkish Federal Reserve signals amid Middle East-driven oil price spikes above $90 per barrel. July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while PCE held near 3.7%, keeping price stability in focus as the Fed maintained its 3.50–3.75% funds rate target in July with three dissents favoring a hike. Recent weak ADP private payrolls data and mixed Fed commentary have tempered immediate rate-hike odds ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and August CPI release on September 11. Fiscal deficit worries and global bond yield rises further support higher yields, though softer labor or inflation prints could ease pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETElevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.79% in early September 2026 reflect persistent inflation concerns and hawkish Federal Reserve signals amid Middle East-driven oil price spikes above $90 per barrel. July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while PCE held near 3.7%, keeping price stability in focus as the Fed maintained its 3.50–3.75% funds rate target in July with three dissents favoring a hike. Recent weak ADP private payrolls data and mixed Fed commentary have tempered immediate rate-hike odds ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and August CPI release on September 11. Fiscal deficit worries and global bond yield rises further support higher yields, though softer labor or inflation prints could ease pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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