Recent U.S. inflation data, including the June 2026 CPI reading of 3.5% year-over-year after a 4.2% May print, alongside core measures near 2.6% and sticky PCE readings above the 2% target, have kept monetary policy expectations finely balanced for the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The unemployment rate holding steady near 4.2-4.4% reflects a stable but gradually softening labor market, while market-implied forward rates suggest traders see roughly even odds of a 25 basis point cut, hike, or no change as participants weigh persistent price pressures against moderating growth. These closely matched probabilities around 50% for each outcome underscore uncertainty ahead of key releases such as July CPI, employment reports, and any further central bank communications that could shift the balance between rate cut expectations and tightening signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于加息25个基点 50%
No change 45%
25 bps decrease 27%
50+ bps decrease 18%
最新
最新
2027-01-27
50+ bps decrease
18%
25 bps decrease
27%
No change
45%
加息25个基点
50%
上调50个基点以上
16%
加息25个基点 50%
No change 45%
25 bps decrease 27%
50+ bps decrease 18%
最新
最新
2027-01-27
50+ bps decrease
$0 交易量
18%
25 bps decrease
$0 交易量
27%
No change
$0 交易量
45%
加息25个基点
$0 交易量
50%
上调50个基点以上
$0 交易量
16%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. inflation data, including the June 2026 CPI reading of 3.5% year-over-year after a 4.2% May print, alongside core measures near 2.6% and sticky PCE readings above the 2% target, have kept monetary policy expectations finely balanced for the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The unemployment rate holding steady near 4.2-4.4% reflects a stable but gradually softening labor market, while market-implied forward rates suggest traders see roughly even odds of a 25 basis point cut, hike, or no change as participants weigh persistent price pressures against moderating growth. These closely matched probabilities around 50% for each outcome underscore uncertainty ahead of key releases such as July CPI, employment reports, and any further central bank communications that could shift the balance between rate cut expectations and tightening signals.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. inflation data, including the June 2026 CPI reading of 3.5% year-over-year after a 4.2% May print, alongside core measures near 2.6% and sticky PCE readings above the 2% target, have kept monetary policy expectations finely balanced for the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The unemployment rate holding steady near 4.2-4.4% reflects a stable but gradually softening labor market, while market-implied forward rates suggest traders see roughly even odds of a 25 basis point cut, hike, or no change as participants weigh persistent price pressures against moderating growth. These closely matched probabilities around 50% for each outcome underscore uncertainty ahead of key releases such as July CPI, employment reports, and any further central bank communications that could shift the balance between rate cut expectations and tightening signals.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. inflation data, including the June 2026 CPI reading of 3.5% year-over-year after a 4.2% May print, alongside core measures near 2.6% and sticky PCE readings above the 2% target, have kept monetary policy expectations finely balanced for the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The unemployment rate holding steady near 4.2-4.4% reflects a stable but gradually softening labor market, while market-implied forward rates suggest traders see roughly even odds of a 25 basis point cut, hike, or no change as participants weigh persistent price pressures against moderating growth. These closely matched probabilities around 50% for each outcome underscore uncertainty ahead of key releases such as July CPI, employment reports, and any further central bank communications that could shift the balance between rate cut expectations and tightening signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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