**Recent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, a resilient labor market, and hawkish communications from regional bank presidents have kept trader focus on potential policy splits at the October 27–28 FOMC meeting.** With the committee already showing three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike at the July meeting, current Polymarket pricing reflects uncertainty over whether the majority will hold rates at 3.50–3.75% or tighten, and how many voting members—particularly Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan—will break ranks. The closely bunched probabilities for one to three dissents underscore the data-dependent path and limited visibility into the final vote tally ahead of the September 15–16 gathering and subsequent releases. Markets price these outcomes as aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital rather than certainties, leaving room for surprises if incoming CPI or payrolls shift the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在10月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?
3 24%
2 22%
1 20%
4人及以上 19%
0
15%
1
20%
2
22%
3
24%
4人及以上
19%
3 24%
2 22%
1 20%
4人及以上 19%
0
15%
1
20%
2
22%
3
24%
4人及以上
19%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
**Recent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, a resilient labor market, and hawkish communications from regional bank presidents have kept trader focus on potential policy splits at the October 27–28 FOMC meeting.** With the committee already showing three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike at the July meeting, current Polymarket pricing reflects uncertainty over whether the majority will hold rates at 3.50–3.75% or tighten, and how many voting members—particularly Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan—will break ranks. The closely bunched probabilities for one to three dissents underscore the data-dependent path and limited visibility into the final vote tally ahead of the September 15–16 gathering and subsequent releases. Markets price these outcomes as aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital rather than certainties, leaving room for surprises if incoming CPI or payrolls shift the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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