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icon for 在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?

在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?

icon for 在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?

在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?

3 32%

4+ 21%

2 18%

1 16%

Polymarket
最新

3 32%

4+ 21%

2 18%

1 16%

Polymarket
最新

0

$128 交易量

15%

1

$232 交易量

16%

2

$175 交易量

18%

3

$2,025 交易量

35%

4+

$83 交易量

21%

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent mixed inflation readings and softening labor market data have fragmented FOMC participant views on the pace of policy easing ahead of the September meeting, producing closely matched probabilities across dissent counts. Traders price in a base case of three dissents because several regional bank presidents continue to highlight persistent services inflation above target, while others cite rising unemployment risks that warrant faster cuts. Market-implied odds reflect this dispersion rather than consensus, with four or more dissents gaining traction if upcoming August employment or CPI releases surprise to the upside. Key swing factors include the latest nonfarm payrolls and core PCE prints, which will shape the final dot plot and voting alignment before the September 16-17 decision.

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,643
结束日期
2026-09-16
市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent mixed inflation readings and softening labor market data have fragmented FOMC participant views on the pace of policy easing ahead of the September meeting, producing closely matched probabilities across dissent counts. Traders price in a base case of three dissents because several regional bank presidents continue to highlight persistent services inflation above target, while others cite rising unemployment risks that warrant faster cuts. Market-implied odds reflect this dispersion rather than consensus, with four or more dissents gaining traction if upcoming August employment or CPI releases surprise to the upside. Key swing factors include the latest nonfarm payrolls and core PCE prints, which will shape the final dot plot and voting alignment before the September 16-17 decision.

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,643
结束日期
2026-09-16
市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"3",概率为 35%,其次是"4+",概率为 21%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 35¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 35%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 27, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?"的当前领先者是"3",概率为 35%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 35%。紧随其后的结果是"4+",概率为 21%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。