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icon for 美国宣布另一项日元干预措施由... ?

美国宣布另一项日元干预措施由... ?

icon for 美国宣布另一项日元干预措施由... ?

美国宣布另一项日元干预措施由... ?

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$0 交易量

49%

2026年12月31日

$0 交易量

48%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s repeated signals of support for coordinated action and Bank of Japan rate hikes have kept markets alert for another US yen-buying intervention, following the late-July joint operation that lifted USD/JPY from a 40-year low near 164 to the mid-155 area. The pair has since retraced to around 158.7–160 as of September 2, 2026, reflecting the wide US-Japan rate differential and yen’s partial loss of intervention gains, while Japan spent a record $96 billion supporting the currency over the past month. Recent hawkish BOJ commentary and a near-92% market-implied probability of a September hike have fueled fresh yen strength and intervention speculation, though analysts view the latest moves as more likely rate checks than outright purchases. Traders are watching the September 17–18 BOJ meeting and any disorderly moves above 160 for the next catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.

Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.

Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.

Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s repeated signals of support for coordinated action and Bank of Japan rate hikes have kept markets alert for another US yen-buying intervention, following the late-July joint operation that lifted USD/JPY from a 40-year low near 164 to the mid-155 area. The pair has since retraced to around 158.7–160 as of September 2, 2026, reflecting the wide US-Japan rate differential and yen’s partial loss of intervention gains, while Japan spent a record $96 billion supporting the currency over the past month. Recent hawkish BOJ commentary and a near-92% market-implied probability of a September hike have fueled fresh yen strength and intervention speculation, though analysts view the latest moves as more likely rate checks than outright purchases. Traders are watching the September 17–18 BOJ meeting and any disorderly moves above 160 for the next catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.

Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.

Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.

Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.

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常见问题

"美国宣布另一项日元干预措施由... ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年9月30日",概率为 49%,其次是"2026年12月31日",概率为 48%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 49¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 49%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"美国宣布另一项日元干预措施由... ?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 2, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"美国宣布另一项日元干预措施由... ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"美国宣布另一项日元干预措施由... ?"的当前领先者是"2026年9月30日",概率为 49%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 49%。紧随其后的结果是"2026年12月31日",概率为 48%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"美国宣布另一项日元干预措施由... ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。